Paul Douglas
@pdouglasweather
Meteorologist, serial entrepreneur, dreamer. Founder: “Praedictix” weather-tech in MSP. Author: “A Kid’s Guide to Saving the Planet”. Optimistic most days
A hellish convergence of factors: remains of Tropical Storm Barry, T-storms stalling overhead for 24 hours. Half a year's worth of rain in 1 day. 30-foot Guadalupe River rise in 4 hours. Late night flooding when people were sleeping. No cell phones allowed at Camp Mystic. No…
I don’t understand how this is even possible. Not saying it didn’t happen, of course, but what combination of elements was necessary to lead to something we all would have considered impossible?
Heat Advisory today with Manila-like humidity (dew points in the mid 70s). HRRR model shows greatest T-storm risk to the metro late afternoon and evening. There will be watches and warnings issued - biggest threat is damaging winds and even isolated tornadoes north/east of MSP
when in doubt this summer, predict thunderstorms this latest batch moving in may spark 40 mph gusts and pea-size hail what drought?
Our power is out - increasingly concerned about growing flash flood risk in and near the Twin Cities metro. Take it easy out there
I miss football. Apologies for the raging brain-fart
Quarterback sized? Are we talking Fran Tarkington or Dan McGwire?
Severe T-storm warnings for far western and northwestern metro counties for 60 mph winds and quarterback-size hail. #hatchesbattened
30-year MSP climate data shows July 15 is the hottest day of the year, on average. Today won't disappoint Heat Advisory posted for the Twin Cities. Local downpours later today may spark pockets of flash flooding, along with hail and straight-line winds
Hot & humid this afternoon, then numerous thunderstorms develop through Wed morning. A few severe storms are possible this afternoon & evening with damaging wind & hail the likely threats. Locally heavy rain is also possible with isolated amounts of 3-4"+ possible. #mnwx #wiwx
Heat Index may rise into the upper 90s today with plenty of juice for strong/severe T-storms HRRR Supercell Composite Index shows greatest risk of hail and damaging winds over central MN this afternoon. Can't rule out an isolated tornado or 2, but this is not the primary risk
One of the best sources for updated AQI information Green=good Red/Purple=bad fire.airnow.gov/#4.45/46.9/-89…
Minnesota DNR: 11 of the 16 MN "mega-rain events" and subsequent floods since 1973 have occurred since 2000 dnr.state.mn.us/climate/summar….
I've shared this map many times over the years, and unfortunately it still holds true. #FlashFloodAlley
this is utterly insane
One of the most shocking aspects of the #TexasFloods is the rate of rise of the Guadalupe River. As a half a year’s worth of rain fell in just one day in the TX hill Country, the runoff cascaded into the river, causing a 30 ft rise in just 4 hours, and a new record level. It’s…
With help from ChatGPT4o here is what you need to know for receiving weather emergency alerts on Android phones: ChatGPT said: To ensure your Android phone receives emergency weather alerts (like tornado warnings or flash flood alerts from the National Weather Service), you’ll…
Thank you for reminding me about phone settings. I have an iPhone and here is how you make sure you get emergency weather alerts. Open the Settings app Scroll down and tap Notifications Scroll to the very bottom Make sure the following toggles are turned ON: ✅ Emergency…
This is great. I heard a meteorologist on WCCO with @DeRushaJ yesterday who said an ongoing concern for them is how to get people to pay attention to the various warnings they issue. And I immediately made sure my phone was set (it wasn’t!) to receive emergency weather alerts.
My take on the the factors that made the horrific flash 4th of July flooding in Texas so much worse, with @kare11 reporter Kent Erdahl: kare11.com/article/news/l…
The remains of Barry produced 20.33" of rain 4 miles northwest of Streeter TX. Barry is the 20th tropical cyclone (or remnant) since 1913 to cause 15"+ across Interior Texas. The loop below shows the other 19. Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Climatology: wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/…
Both warnings posted by NWS were clear cut and bold about this being life threatening, and location, even mentioning "campers" and "Kerrville". The flash flood emergency issued at 5:34 am on July 4th. "AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES A LARGE AND DEADLY WAVE IS MOVING DOWN THE GUADALUPE…
Good explainer from @spann about what happened in Texas. Remnants of Pacific Tropical Storm Barry combined with light winds aloft allowed torrential downpours to stall near Kerrville, TX. Possible 500-year flooding event. One glaring takeaway: buy a NOAA Weather Radio
TEXAS FLOOD: There are many questions about the tragic flash flood on the Guadalupe River late Thursday night and early Friday morning. The death toll is now over 50, including some children who were at Camp Mystic. Here are some key points about the warning process... *A flash…
Low 90s with a heat index close to 100F this afternoon. NOAA's HRRR model usually has the right idea about T-storm development. 10pm tonight storms likely far western and northern MN but metro area should remain storm-free until late tonight. Not bad for a major holiday 😎
Close to 5" of rain from yesterday's tornadic storms near Buffalo. This is storm total precip from last 24 hrs The sprinkler guy is even lonelier than the Maytag repairman
In spite of nearly continuous lightning I didn't see a funnel - but I have no doubt there was something lurking out there. I kept staring out the window while my wife was trying to pull me into the basement. In the immortal words of Helen Hunt: "I wanna SEE it!"
Cone tornado ongoing looking from a webcam in Minnetoka. @NWSTwinCities wyc.org/webcam