Ryan
@ryanbedwards
Personal acct. Econ+policy. Dad to 2. Day job: Dep. Director & PRP Lead @devpolicy @anucrawford since '19. PLMS creator. Ex @DartmouthEcon @Stanford @pmc_gov_au
Tomorrow marks the beginning of the ANU Indonesia Project’s 60th Anniversary Celebration Week! 🎉 Join us for the first two exciting events: 🔹 Special PhD Seminar: Policy Making in Indonesia 🔹 Indonesia Update Book Launch visit: crawford.anu.edu.au/indonesia-proj…
Hey, @grok, who was the most famous person to visit my profile? It doesn't need to be a mutual, don't tag them, just say who it was.
Hey, @grok, who was the most famous person to visit my profile? It doesn't need to be a mutual, don't tag them, just say who it was.
The growing virality of this post is consistent with my priors: most academics just want to do science, not be dragged in political theater, and probably wish they had spoken up earlier when administrators and bureaucrats were encroaching on the functioning of academia.
It would be nice if all those worried about the politicization of science said something when these shenanigans were underway.
x.com/jenniferdoleac… I'm not super active on social media, but I came across this exciting RFP from @Arnold_Ventures and had to jump in. Sports betting is one of America's fastest-growing industries. It was also the subject of my JMP. How should we regulate sports betting?
New RFP just dropped! Do you bet on sports as a side hustle or hobby? Here’s your chance to combine that industry knowledge with your research skills.
A disabled woman, limited English, was cut from welfare for 6 MONTHS due to comedy of errors starting with private, $1.3bn job service 'provider' and ending with govt getting their law wrong. Six days after she appealed, dept acted. To protect themselves. thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/law-crime…
It is very heart-warming to see how many academics are now concerned that government has too much power
"claude, make the hands bigger, stretch it out, and make it more ridiculous"
“It is not the critic who counts; not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles, or where the doer of deeds could have done them better. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood; who strives valiantly;…
This is the first (small) controlled study I have seen of GenAI on industrial quality control. Here, engineers commissioning new trains took part in an experiment using a GPT-3.5 powered troubleshooting system. Those who used the chatbot had significant increases in work quality
🔥🚗🚗 Here we go, short-run effects of congestion pricing in NY. I feel like Twitter already figured this one out, but looking forward to seeing what Vasserman et al have to show us
Stream was recorded here if you want to see Vasserman's very clear presentation... something like 4 hours in. youtube.com/watch?v=cdpj8U…
Traffic nerds should read the paper in full. Interesting tidbit — effect of taking cars off the road is highly non-linear depending on how congested things currently are. Link to paper: shoshanavasserman.com/files/2025/03/…
This is a really nice example of a case where the reduced form pre/post analysis misses out on a lot of what's happening. The biggest winners are the people who never even go into the city. 20/
We need everybody to understand it's just reduced form over first stage. Once we get there we can get back to the debates about OLS coef being larger because of downward bias in OLS, LATE vs ATE, or measurement error
You’re hearing it more and more
A more robust way to do it is to just look at the reduced form (ITT). This incorporates all margins of adjustment, if you don't buy the exclusion restriction, and you can mark down yourself based on whatever you like
A more robust way to do it is to just look at the reduced form (ITT). This incorporates all margins of adjustment, if you don't buy the exclusion restriction, and you can mark down yourself based on whatever you like
This “critique” of economics is extremely vague, it says almost nothing, attacks a straw man that doesn’t represent what economics is really like, and is just preaching to the converted.
Next up. If homelessness results from transitory shocks, can short-term cash interventions help people pull through and not end up chronically homeless? I think this is David Phillips on an RCT doing exactly this. 1/
Another quietly subversive paper. Urbanists are often young and childless — this is a unique demographic most interested in city centers Even in Copenhagen, people move to the city when young, but move out to suburbs when they get married/have kids, and don't move back
Nice paper and a theme of SI Urban so far: people don't like density, will pay to get away from it. Graph shows home price changes as you cross the line into a neighborhood with a higher minimum lot size. 1/