Jake M. Grumbach
@JakeMGrumbach
policy, political economy, elections // 70-80s soul, 90s hip hop // #DubNation // proud product of miscegenation // Berkeley prof. formerly: UW, Princeton CSDP
No matter how you slice it, US police officers are safer on the job and paid way more than other countries' police The critical question isn't more police vs. less police. It's why are US police paid so much while doing such little police work? From my paper w/ Mickey & Ziblatt
A version of imperial blowback on the homeland, this is immigration authoritarian blowback on the American working class
A Latino family in LA sued over an illegal eviction. The landlord's lawyer, Rod Fehlman, warned that they'd "likely be picked up by ICE and deported prior to trial thanks to all the good work the Trump administration has done." The kicker? Everyone in the family is a US citizen.
It is insane how prevalent AI already is in the legal world
Opposing counsel just filed a Motion with four em dashes. It also says “in today’s ever-evolving legal landscape” and “let’s unpack this.”
Going to be obvious eventually that The Wokes™ came to dominate the arts and humanities mostly because they were the largest remaining constituency that actually cared about them while the rest of the world, including university admins, either moved on or tried to destroy them.
The Division of the Arts & Humanities is considering consolidating its 15 departments into eight, reducing language instruction, and establishing minimum class and program sizes, citing new federal policies and shifts in the “underlying financial models” for higher education.
One of the finest vinyl sets I've heard in a long time. DJ Marie Kimishima, you've brought joy to the world. The number of rare gems you packed into an hour fifteen... youtube.com/watch?v=ui3SVv…
How it started/How it's going
I don't think the Teachout op-ed was strong. But in shitting on it, some econs again strawmanned greedflation theory to mean "greed go up -> prices go up" It's annoying because there are reasonable models of how 2021-present could increase pricing power
Remember this
RFK Jr. admits he twice flew on Jeffrey Epstein’s jet and wife had ‘relationship’ with Ghislaine Maxwell trib.al/sXLQ7o5
The fact that Joe Budden still wont talk to Earl Sweatshirt over this k¡lls me 😭
Loiter Squad was peak television and I simply won’t be told otherwise…
This is the mechanism to explain Gen Z crossover voting. But potentially even bigger (structurally hard to detect in survey or precinct level returns) is differential turnout effects, with leftwing Gen Z turnout down and rightwing Gen Z turnout up None of this is Realignment™
The occam’s razor explanation of the 2024 election is that there was no big ideological realignment, and instead Gen Z and Hispanic Americans just voted their pocket books, thinking Trump would make prices look like they did when he was president.
They’re calling it the Wokest Generation
This is insane cope, gen Z opposes Trump’s immigration policies by the largest margin of any age group, disapproves of his economic handling and tariffs, and thinks he’s too focused on ending DEI.
Can’t stop won’t stop
NEW: We uncovered multiple photos of Jeffrey Epstein at Donald Trump‘s wedding. Photos of the pair together earlier that year at an event. And video of Epstein and Trump at the 1999 Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show. cnn.com/2025/07/22/pol…
Pretty good
When you don’t know that a “sound bite” is both audio and video. Happy three years to me finally making it to Reddit.
The postwar social contract where American (however defined) workers are granted access to security not through a vast safety net but access to capital in the form of real estate is over! It's never coming back, that era of accumulation is finished!
"OUR COUNTRY IS TOTALLY BROKEN" “A 38-year-old first-time homebuyer spends 42% of after-tax income on a mortgage… runaway debt is destroying balance sheets.” — @esaagar
welcome back, the vibecession
52% say U.S. in recession, 64% say economy getting worse — ARG poll
Honestly shocked at this…a signal of Democratic minority party…competence?
Breaking News: Speaker Mike Johnson said he would shut down the House until September to block a vote on calling for the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files. nyti.ms/4nZtblR
Most Conservative Generation in 50 or 60 Years
CBS NEWS POLL: Trump's approval trends among ages 18-29 Early February 🟢 Approve: 55% (+10) 🟤 Disapprove: 45% JULY 🟢 Approve: 28% (-44) 🟤 Disapprove: 72% Net 54 point negative swing