Peter Hartree
@peterhartree
Something happening. http://type3.audio, http://radiobostrom.com, http://thevalmy.com http://notes.pjh.is, http://sun.pjh.is, http://mtv.pjh.is http://inboxwhenready.org, http://comment-helper.org
Agreed
imo the number one reason people still aren't grappling with the full implications and imminence of superintelligence is... inconvenience.
"How, exactly, could AI take over by 2027?" Introducing AI 2027: a deeply-researched scenario forecast I wrote alongside @slatestarcodex, @eli_lifland, and @thlarsen
Today I was unsure about whether to do something so I asked @tylercowen for advice, and he started it off with: “Keep in mind that most of what we do is pointless, in a way.”
The raw chain of thought from DeepSeek is fascinating, really reads like a human thinking out loud. Charming and strange.
Meanwhile in France: in office buildings, it is illegal to switch on the air conditioning if the interior temperature is less than 26 °C or 78.8 °F. (Décret n° 2007-363)
Air conditioning lets you use your brain more Students do worse when its hot. Over 13 years in NYC alone, "upwards of 510,000 exams that otherwise would have passed likely received failing grades due to hot exam conditions," and these failures delayed or stopped 90k graduations!
For those who want to follow more people working on the cutting-edge of AI tech I have a well-curated Twitter list here: x.com/i/lists/173139…
For those who want to follow more people in AI Policy/Governance work I have a well-curated Twitter list here: x.com/i/lists/143945…
Good thread.
Thoughts on the politics of AI safety: 1. Risks that seem speculative today will become common sense as AI advances. 2. Pros and cons of different safety strategies will also become much clearer over time. 3. So our main job is to empower future common-sense decision-making.
Virtually nobody is pricing in what's coming in AI. I wrote an essay series on the AGI strategic picture: from the trendlines in deep learning and counting the OOMs, to the international situation and The Project. SITUATIONAL AWARENESS: The Decade Ahead
Daniel Dennett has died. 😢 dailynous.com/2024/04/19/dan…
👍
Joe Carlsmith's recent essays are some of the best things I've read on agents, liberalism, and how to think about 'co-habitation'. Highly recommend, even if you don't agree directionally, they're highly thought provoking. joecarlsmith.com/2024/01/16/bei…
This isn’t about super-powered surveillance (well, it is that too), but about the fact that AI can now watch the world, remember hours of what sees at a time, and “reason” about what it sees in detail, with few mistakes. Using visual, not just text, data greatly expands AI power
Dang, multimodal video + a GPT-4 class(?) + huge context windows results in some really crazy capabilities. I uploaded a video of a crowded street scene and Gemini 1.5 was able to answer detailed questions about what happened in it, down to individual car brands and types.