Shannon Buckingham
@ShannonCBPP
Senior Vice President for Communications and Senior Counselor at @CenterOnBudget. Mom, Hoya, Hill is home. (she/her)
Just a thought: dropping this unprecedented & extreme cost-shift policy altogether would be a Byrd Rule-compliant way to shield Alaska from its immense harm without creating a perverse incentive for states save themselves millions by making as many payment errors as possible.
This reworked SNAP carveout for Alaska + Sen. Murkowski has survived the parliamentarian Rs rewrote it as a formula temporarily exempting high payment error rate states - giving them more time to comply with cost share Dems livid Rs exempting more states while hitting others
Let's put the $3.4 trillion cost of Republican reconciliation law in context. The tax cuts are so costly that Republicans could have extended all of the expiring tax cuts for families (including millionaires) without cutting SNAP/Medicaid...and it would have cost *less*.
NEW -- CBO has a new cost estimate for OBBB. The law will add $3.4T to the budget deficit over the next 10 years, CBO says. CBO: "That increase in the deficit is estimated to result from a decrease in direct spending of $1.1 trillion and an decrease in revenues of $4.5…
NEW: Bipartisan government funding is at risk of dying The appropriations process has been on a decline for years, under both parties, but it always remained a two-party operation. New moves by the red trifecta to modify or disrupt funding deals on party lines (more money for…
By approving the Administration’s rescission package, as is widely expected, congressional Republicans are sabotaging the bipartisan funding agreement reached just months ago & poisoning the well for future deals. cbpp.org/blog/rescissio…
House & Senate Republicans have now passed a bill that will raise families' food & health care costs, increase poverty & hunger, take health coverage away from millions of ppl & drive up deficits - all to give costly tax cuts to the wealthy & corporations.
Senate Rs voted to pass a bill that wld raise food & health care costs on families, increase hunger & take health coverage away from millions of ppl while doubling down on tax cuts for the wealthy. House Rs must stand up for their communities & reject it. cbpp.org/press/statemen…
The harm will be real. "Unfortunately, the current financial environment, driven by anticipated federal budget cuts to Medicaid, has made it impossible for us to continue operating all of our services..." klkntv.com/rural-southwes…
Senate Republicans made a horrible House bill even worse. House Republicans should step back & find the courage to say no to any bill that would raise costs & take health coverage & food assistance away from people struggling to afford the basics.
"This bill will make 60% of the country poorer so we can shrink the economy by 4.6% over the next 30 years" is one heck of an accomplishment.
We estimate the Senate-passed reconciliation bill increases primary deficits by $3.1 trillion over 10 years. The dynamic cost, including changes to the economy, is larger at $3.5 trillion. GDP falls by 0.3 in 10 years and falls by 4.6 in 30 years. budgetmodel.wharton.upenn.edu/issues/2025/7/…
It is mechanically not possible to bankrupt Medicaid. Unlike Medicare & Social Security, there is no pot of money that funds the program. Cutting people off Medicaid doesn’t leave more for others. Republicans are cutting Medicaid because they want it to cover fewer people.
"especially no tax on tips and overtime"
Massive tax cuts, especially no tax on tips and overtime. And most importantly, big money for border security. This is a big win for the American people.
Incredible: the GOP bill is a giant tax cut & includes some of the "growthiest" tax cuts like full expensing, but is so poorly designed that it reduces long run GDP by 5% and the capital stock by 8%. All while making poor people pay more for health care and food. Just...why?
"We estimate the Senate-passed reconciliation bill increases primary deficits by $3.1 trillion over 10 years." This bill will bankrupt America with debt and Americans with higher health care and electricity bills @BudgetModel tinyurl.com/yup99kve
Today, the U.S. Senate passed a bill that will kick nearly 12 million off health coverage—the majority of whom are on #Medicaid—and make it more difficult and expensive to obtain and keep health insurance. The House will vote on the bill later this week. (1/2)
Senate Republicans saw the impacts of the House bill and chose to double down. ⬇️⬇️⬇️
Senate Rs voted to pass a bill that wld raise food & health care costs on families, increase hunger & take health coverage away from millions of ppl while doubling down on tax cuts for the wealthy. House Rs must stand up for their communities & reject it. cbpp.org/press/statemen…
17 million people losing health coverage and becoming uninsured is not "minutiae."
I regret to inform you that Republicans' SNAP cost-shift plan has gotten substantially more nonsensical in the 24 hours since I posted this.
Iowa is a great example of how nonsensical Republicans' SNAP cost-shift plan is: Iowa's error rate is well below the national average, as it has been for several years. But because it increased less than a percentage point, they'd be on the hook for tens of millions of dollars.
Rather than shrinking the Medicaid cuts, the Senate has expanded them.
Speaker Johnson tried to calm House Rs worried about the Senate’s Medicaid cuts on a call yesterday But it went south for frustrated Rs — as Mehmet Oz, the Trump official who oversees Medicaid, insisted the cuts were waste, fraud + abuse “It did not go well” even a swath of…
When folks talk like this, they say they want nominal Medicaid spending to be the same as in 2019…ignoring inflation, population growth, and population aging. It’s what smart people say when they’re trying to mislead you.
BESSENT: WANT TO GET MEDICAID BACK TO PRE-COVID LEVELS
Medicaid expansion has been a big help to clinics, allowing them to serve more people & offer more services Made a difference in rural NC after the hurricane: "Having that capacity let people get their lives together quicker, and get back to work too" thebulwark.com/p/medicaid-cut…