Marwan🇲🇦🇬🇧

The BBC's Projected National Share in GB translates into the following seat tally: ➡️REF: 376 (+371) 🌹LAB: 113 (-299) 🔸LD: 71 (-1) 🌳CON: 12 (-109) 🟢Green: 5 (+1) Reform Majority of 100.

This is a great thread. Bear in mind also that in 2025 local elections, Reform were polling mid 20s, yet their projected national vote share after the election was 30%.

Hey, @grok, who was the most famous person to visit my profile? And when did they visit my profile?

I've had a lot of people from outside the UK message me about this vacancy. I should add that this is in the office 4 days a week in London.

Our fintech (@Currensea) is hiring for a marketing executive as we undergo our expansion and work on co-branded cards. DM me for more details. 2+ years of experience in a marketing related field. Competitive package. DM if interested.

2 years ago today, we set the bird free

This time last year, Labour had 411 MPs taking the Labour whip. This number is now down to 398, a net loss of 13. For context, in Boris Johnson's first year as PM, he only had 1 MP lose the whip and that was Julian Lewis.

Wordle 1,478 3/6 ⬜🟨⬜⬜🟨 🟨🟨🟨🟩⬜ 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩

Next year's set of local elections might be bleak for the Conservatives, but they seem to have turned back the tide in Central London. I can see the Tories winning back Westminster City Council next year fairly comfortably, even with Reform on the pitch.

This situation spits out dozens of knife edge results as well that will turn heads. Take Rachel Reeves' seat in Leeds West and Pudsey. Current prediction: ➡️REF: 32.5 (+16.2) 🌹LAB: 32.1 (-17.2) 🌳CON: 13.1 (-4.0) 🟢Green: 11.2 (+1.3) 🔸LD: 8.0 (+3.5) REF gain from LAB.

This looks like a case of centrist Labour voters backing the Conservatives to keep Reform out. A very severe case of tactical voting.

Piece of trivia for you... In the last GE, the Tories failed to stand a candidate in the Rotherham constituency. This was the only seat in Great Britain (other than the Speaker's seat) where the Tories had no candidate. The reason? Laila Cunningham withdrawing her candidacy.

Our latest MRP. See below.

Welfare reform very unpopular with the Labour base. BUT... Tories could inadvertently vote it through as it doesn't look like they're going to mobilise against. Labour win the vote due to abstentions, but a mass backbench rebellion brews. A Pyrrhic victory for the PM.

Michael Jackson and Freddie Mercury were the best male vocalists of the 20th century.

Incredibly high turnout for a council by election.

Who said it?: Corbyn or Farage? 🗣️ During this week’s break we asked @johnmcdonnellmp and @TiceRichard to guess who said each quote 💬 How many did you get right? And what do you think of Farage adopting some of the language of the left? Let us know below ✍️👇 #Peston