Hamidreza Azizi
@HamidRezaAz
PhD | Visiting Fellow @SWPBerlin | Associate @Clingendaelorg | Nonresident Fellow @ME_Council | Iran, Middle East, Eurasia | Views my own | RTs not endorsement
In my latest for @ForeignAffairs, I examine why #Iran didn’t step in to prevent Assad’s downfall, the challenges Tehran faces as #Syria breaks away from its orbit, and how it might adapt to a post-Assad era 👇 foreignaffairs.com/syria/how-iran…
📢NEW article from the series ‘Evolving Turkey–Iran relations and implications for regional reordering’ @natasabanadze (@CHRussiaEurasia) discusses how Russia, Turkey and Iran are reshaping the South Caucasus 🧵 kalam.chathamhouse.org/articles/how-r…
« The latest events in Suweida therefore demonstrate, once again, that Syria is not witnessing a democratic and inclusive political transition. Instead, there is an attempt – which is far from complete – to build a new authoritarian regime led by HTS… » newarab.com/opinion/syria-…
Me in @ForeignPolicy. The Trump administration's claim that Iran would need "years" to rebuild its previous nuclear program is like asserting that an unlocked bank vault would be impervious to a cyberattack. It’s true but misses the point. (Link 👇)
NEW: There's an intensifying battle inside Iran for the soul and direction of the country. The war with Israel may have sparked rally-around-the-flag effect, but the political establishment remains torn with Pezeshkian caught in middle. Great overview: amwaj.media/en/media-monit…
انتقاد از عراقچی بعد از آن که گفت تهران دنبال محو اسرائیل نبوده و نیست... وزارت خارجه ایران می‌‌گوید فاکس‌نیوز حرفهای او را تقطیع کرده. گفت‌وگو با حمیدرضا عزیزی، کارشناس روابط بین‌الملل:
Dear @amberinzaman thank you my friend. Latest information: Paris meeting had been Postponed as “Parties too far apart”. 🇫🇷 Trying to hold it “in few days”.
Dear @ibrahimhamidi as we first reported on Monday al-monitor.com/originals/2025… the mtg in Paris was likely to happen but has now been postponed due to the events in Suwayda. Here we reported the details of the Damascus mtg which started well then turned sour al-monitor.com/originals/2025…
Long been apparent that Israel wants a Lebanon-style setup with the IRGC: namely a one-way ceasefire. Covert ops allow Israel to continue attacks without crossing threshold of military action that'd collapse the truce. Also convenient given Iran's inability to respond in kind.
"For more than two weeks, mysterious explosions and fires have erupted across Iran, setting ablaze apartment complexes and oil refineries, a road outside a major airport and even a shoe factory" The ceasefire with Israel is a "fragile suspension" nytimes.com/2025/07/23/wor…
The experience with Iran and Russia makes it abundantly clear: while oil sanctions are good for restructuring oil flows around geopolitical relationships, they fall short on changing state behavior. Lessons for US policy on decoupling from China. My latest for @ForeignPolicy
Paperback edition of my book will be out soon! Please order from wherever you get your books 🙏🏽 Iran’s freedom struggles have never been more relevant
Publishing soon in paperback. What Iranians Want by Arash Azizi @arash_tehran. @OneworldNews
NEW: When Iran and the E3 meet on Fri, focus will likely be on avoiding making things worse (with snapback) not on making things better. Informed sources confirm WSJ report that E3 have tabled suggestion for extension of snapback, which expires in Oct. amwaj.media/en/media-monit…
Barrack: "Strong nation states are a threat — especially Arab states are viewed as a threat to Israel." Notable candor. english.alarabiya.net/News/middle-ea…
«اصلاحات زمان‌بر است» فقط در سال اول دولت خاتمی میتوانست معنا داشته باشد—سال ۷۶! حالا بعد از ۲۸ سال، هنوز این جمله را تکرار می‌کنید؟ در حکومتی که هر روز عقب‌تر می‌رود، تکرار چنین حرفی نه نشانه‌ی درایت سیاسی، که توهین به شعور مردم است. اصلاحات‌ی که نشدنی‌ست، دیگر نامش را نبرید!
در نشست امروز با اعضای جبهه اصلاحات ضمن شنیدن نظرات دوستان، به لزوم پرهیز از طرح مسائل تفرقه برانگیز تاکید کردم. گفتم اصلاحات زمان‌بر است، آهسته اما پیوسته پیش می‌رویم. پیشتر نیز در وزارت کشور گفتم احزاب باید تقویت شوند. با دیگر احزاب، سمن‌ها و انجمن‌ها نیز گفتگو خواهیم کرد.
In my interview, I discussed the long road of Iran’s arms purchases from China: – Pre-2015: UNSC sanctions blocked deals – 2015: Iran-China fighter jet talks failed over payment—Tehran offered oil – 2020: UN arms embargo expired, but U.S. sanctions kept China hesitant – If…
Iran never liked the Zangezur Corridor idea. Add US involvement, and the stakes skyrocket. With comments by @HamidRezaAz and @Richard_RSC. rferl.org/a/us-proposal-…
Well, #Russia seems to be already on board👇 wanaen.com/e3-has-no-lega…
This narrative on snapback illegitimacy was long expected and is now in full swing. Curious to see if (when) Russia and China pick it up. To be clear, the narrative doesn’t hold water. Iran can’t just unilaterally decide that others are no longer party to the JCPOA. 1/
تصور نادرستی است که نظام‌های اقتدارگرا متوجه و معتقد به تغییر نیستند. هم به کاستی‌ها آگاه‌اند و هم اهمیت تغییر را می‌فهمند. مشکل این است که این سیستم‌ها به لشکری از وفاداران منفعت‌جو متکی‌اند. آنها معتقد به تغییراند، به شرطی که تغییر به شکلی اتفاق بیافتد که به خودشان و منافع‌شان…
حفظ #انسجام_ملی مورد تاکید مقام معظم رهبری می تواند شامل تغییر برخی رویکرد های اجتماعی حاکمیت و محور قراردادن #رضایت_مردم شود،به گونه ای که برای آن ها ملموس باشد.مردم خود را اثبات کردند واکنون نوبت مسئولین است. شیوه های منقضی شده دیگر پاسخگوی جامعه پس از #جنگ نخواهد بود.
“From Bandung to Middle Power Internationalism: How to Remake the World” My debrief with Körber Stiftung, informed by our workshop in Bandung in April. koerber-stiftung.de/site/assets/fi… @flobigge @faisaldevji
هشدار اروپا به بازگشت مکانیزم ماشه به گزارش رویترز، طرف‌های اروپایی گفته‌اند که بدون پیشرفت در مذاکرات هسته‌ای، مکانیسم ماشه را فعال خواهند کرد. آقای عراقچی اما گفته مکانیزم ماشه مبنای اخلاقی و قانونی ندارد. گفت‌وگو با حمیدرضا عزیزی، کارشناس روابط بین‌الملل
In this BBC Persian interview along with @MahmoudianArman and @MeirJa, I said Iran’s Supreme Leader has regained his footing and returned to his previous course. He seems unwilling to accept the U.S. demand for zero enrichment. Political activists' pressure for a referendum…
“Bring back the spirit of Bandung”. Delighted to coauthored this piece w @faisaldevji & @NathalieTocci via @ForeignPolicy The 1955 conference’s value-based approach to international affairs offers a model for middle powers today. 🧵 foreignpolicy.com/2025/07/11/bri…