High_hopes
@scratches2k5
Paper prices are slumping and mills are cutting production, a worrying sign that an economic slowdown is already under way trib.al/V2DQU2e
Lots of notables in Fed Chair Powell’s remarks at his press conference including a shift in the balance of policy risk: from prior concerns of being too aggressive to the current worry of doing too little. Underpinning this is—finally—better appreciation of the inflation dynamics
Very very very informative interview! Learned a lot, and will absolutely recommend. Thank you all so much. $VIX $SPY $SPX $QQQ
How to spot high vs low volatility regimes using the VIX @vixologist breaks down a simple yet effective framework for reading market volatility cycles.
Well, that didn’t take long at all 🥹😇
Ugh That gap is such a magnet. I’ll feel so much comfortable getting some longs once it’s filled, whenever that is 🥹🥹
😑$SPX $SPY $VIX
This is me. For my personal records. What if today was a long term top in the stock market? What is my exit strategy. What do I do from here? Today just feels so emotionally unsettling to me. $SPX $SPY $Qqq
$SPY $QQQ $IWM Yay…rotation. I’ve been cautiously long and was always on the lookout for such a signal. No need to go on a diatribe, read for yourselves. Damn, history does rhyme. Goodluck to us all.
"Yesterday was a fascinating day for US equities... Is this the start of a great rotation? Only a very brave, or perhaps foolish, person would have any confidence in such a statement, but it did remind me ... of 2000..." Deutsche Bank's Raid says.
The funniest thing is how everyone woke up today thinking the market is now going to be carried by 493 stocks lmao. This delusional thinking will be the rugpull to get people averaging down forever. There’s no free lunch/risk free equity market. @tallnfat
This insightful post, @hussmanjp post yesterday, and @VolSignals post about lowest cost to hedge. Today with the whole of fintwit is dunking on Marko Kolanovic for being fired. That’s all you need to know. @SPX @SPY @VIX
Market conditions have been very favorable for many traders. Confidence in the FinX community has been rising to extreme levels because of it. I'd say people are going to get humbled, but come on... this is FinX... they do all the right things all the time, lol.
This is me. For my personal records. What if today was a long term top in the stock market? What is my exit strategy. What do I do from here? Today just feels so emotionally unsettling to me. $SPX $SPY $Qqq
The fact that your recent posts being diff from what you usually say- now leaning towards being quite overconfident and thinking nothing can go wrong, isn’t that in itself a cautionary flag for you? Just wondering….
I see no reason to exit long rates and indices here Tactical and positioning yes When one of them diverges I’ll reconsider
$VIX stays at 13-12 for next 3months $DIA is slowly dying but Q’s and SPY barely budged >3% Everyone is so dismissive of an even possible 5% pullback. GDP coming lower=growth slowing, but tech will outperform. This is what permabulls are counting on. Godspeed to them.
When the $SPX finally has that final 5-7% pullback for 2024 sometime later this month into July, some of ya’ll gonna bank so hard on them puts you might as well order that Lambo right now. ….said no one. Which is exactly why I think it will happen. The boat is still way too…
Seems we can’t seem to get far from this level…at least not yet.
$QQQ - Because of course...
“A game-changing spy thriller.” Experience the six-episode event, Marvel Studios’ #SecretInvasion, streaming this Wednesday on @DisneyPlus.
I think the best trade I’ve ever made is locking in a 2.87% mortgage rate 😂
Honestly is it just me or this is the saddest Powell presser I’ve ever listened to? You can tell the Fed is just exhausted from this pertinent inflation and they are nowhere close to being done. Nothing dovish- just frustration, hawkish and exasperation.
The Fed’s 3 month treasury constant maturity minus federal funds rate is at the highest level for the year. There’s a stronger argument for 100bps than 50bps. However, I still think 75bps is what they’ll deliver. fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T3MFF
This is not oil, a meme stock or even a shitcoin. It’s credit card debt in America.
$TLT lows, $DXY highs, $SPY flatline. Something has to give Wednesday.
Dow Jones set to have its best month in half a century! Thank you, President Biden.
Hear me out for a second…so even in 2008, where the DOW had over a 60% drawdown ad you can see, it never bounced back over 14% in a single month after that 2008 bear market. Are you following my reasoning yet? Good… $DIA $SPX $DJI
