Lauren Teixeira
@lrntex
Analyst @TheBTI
California has always insisted that it is possible to pursue aggressive environmental policy without inflicting economic harm. An impending gasoline shortage and sky-high pump prices will refute this idea. In @TheBTI today I trace the factors leading up to this Icarian moment 🧵
⚙️ NEW MICROSITE JUST DROPPED ⚙️ Today @TheBTI launched navigatingnepa.com, featuring our analysis and open-source database of over 2000 District-level judicial NEPA opinions.
Speaking of Mating I have been thinking a lot lately for obvious reasons (the tepid San Francisco summer) of the narrator’s characterization of the Northern California climate
Speaking of putting one's money where one's mouth is - this is my favorite idea in our report for reducing frivolous tactical lawsuits. Taxpayers should not be footing the bill for unserious lawsuits brought by a handful of NGOs!
Our report shows how litigation risk has become a barrier to abundance—and offers ideas for fixing it. 🔗 thebreakthrough.org/issues/energy/… Thanks to @nicholas_bagley @ProfSchleich @CSElmendorf @EnergyLawProf @ArnabDatta321 @ceqalaw for expert review.
Alongside the report, we built a public site sharing the full NEPA litigation dataset—because sharing is caring. Explore the cases, rulings, and remedies here:
NEPA is widely understood as an impediment to timely, orderly, and cost-effective infrastructure investment and deployment. Explore how NEPA litigation is impacting clean energy, forest management, and much more with our new interactive website: navigatingnepa.com
New report by me and @BTI: The Procedural Hangover: How NEPA Litigation Obstructs Critical Projects NEPA litigation reshapes the process. Agencies pad the record, reports get longer, timelines slip, and projects are not built. Hence, the procedural hangover.
Awesome data storytelling from @dean_halford. I'd never even heard of a beeswarm plot before!!
A good example of median/mean differences. The implication here is that weaponizing NEPA against certain projects is entirely possible.
The decentralized wisdom of markets > a handful of academics with strong incentives to make the most catastrophic claims possible
The dynamic where media reporting on research is misleading and the research itself seems deliberately obscurantist is precisely the situation where prediction markets can be useful in clarifying our collective best understanding of where we actually stand and where we are…
I've never been drawn into westerns (movies, books, anything), and just assumed Lonesome Dove was over hyped schmaltz, but I recently began it, almost by accident, and now I can't put it down because it is very very good! Like snobby high literature good!
Adaptation Insight from a corn seed industry insider on the 'stack.....
In which me and @atrembath LARP as @PatrickTBrown31 to explain that the big new Nature study doesn't say what the authors or media say it does. What does it actually say?🧵 breakthroughjournal.org/p/will-climate…
Great explainer by my colleagues @lrntex @atrembath on the buzzy Nature paper from mid-June--a case of author/journal science communication so skewed it left many folks with major misperceptions of what the paper actually claims re: future crop yields under climate change.
In which me and @atrembath LARP as @PatrickTBrown31 to explain that the big new Nature study doesn't say what the authors or media say it does. What does it actually say?🧵 breakthroughjournal.org/p/will-climate…
“This sounds not great until you remember that background yield trends are very great.” Also great is this entire analysis by @lrntex and @atrembath.
In which me and @atrembath LARP as @PatrickTBrown31 to explain that the big new Nature study doesn't say what the authors or media say it does. What does it actually say?🧵 breakthroughjournal.org/p/will-climate…
Semi serious suggestion: climate impacts studies should have to come with a cigarette-style warning label that says "WE ARE PROJECTING THIS RELATIVE TO A NO AGW COUNTERFACTUAL"
yep, this is huge problem with climate science public communication more broadly josephheath.substack.com/p/highbrow-cli…