Joshua Kucera

1/3.The leaders of Azerbaijan and Armenia are meeting in Abu Dhabi tomorrow. It’s a direct talk with no third-party mediation, hosted by the UAE. This follows the logic of nearly two years of direct negotiations between the two sides. Now the leaders are following that approach.

Azerbaijan--Armenia summit in Abu Dhabi: the first proper Aliyev--Pashinyan meeting ever. Both sides appear keen to cut Russia off. Turkey and the US are supportive. My piece with insights from Jirayr Libaridian, @ZaurShiriyev, @Tigartsakh and @S_Ahmadzada bbc.com/russian/articl…

Meeting between President Ilham Aliyev and Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan started in Abu Dhabi. president.az/en/articles/vi…

“The nightmare scenario here [in the South Caucasus] is that Iran suffers serious internal instability or collapse of the state.” My colleague @joshuakucera discusses the regional implications of Israel and US strikes on Iran at @Europarl_EN (13:11:16): multimedia.europarl.europa.eu/en/webstreamin…

I spoke with the EU Parliament committees on the Caucasus to discuss the effect that the Iran-Israel war had (and could have again) on Armenia and Azerbaijan. (My part starts at 13:11:16.) multimedia.europarl.europa.eu/en/webstreamin…

🔎 INTERVIEW Don't miss this insightful interview on Turkey–Azerbaijan–Armenia relations. Sessiz Olmaz Blog's editor @ayseyircali speaks with @nigargoksel from International Crisis Group. Now available in English. sessizolmaz.org/blog-88-dynami…

Excellent analysis, must-read for understanding where Azerbaijan is now:

A peace agreement between Yerevan and Baku could be in sight. However, tensions remain rife between Armenia and Azerbaijan. Here's how the EU and its member states can support the peace process and contribute to regional peace and security. ⬇️ crisisgroup.org/global/watch-l…

Armenia and Azerbaijan have finalized the text of their peace agreement, but the prospects for signing it remain murky and the risk of conflict reigniting remains real. For @CrisisGroup: crisisgroup.org/europe-central…

NEW STATEMENT | Deal or No Deal, a Basis for Talks about Peace in Ukraine The Trump administration has opened space for diplomacy to end Russia’s war in Ukraine. Its proposed deal is an opportunity for continued talks. crisisgroup.org/europe-central…

It was an honor today to be the sole respondent to a distinguished panel of the three South Caucasus foreign ministers in Antalya. #ADF2025 #MEET4DIPLOMACY I tried to weave together key points about: - The geopolitical upheaval and domestic pressures that make concrete…