Zaur Shiriyev
@ZaurShiriyev
Nonresident Scholar @CarnegieEndow Scholar-practitioner focused on the Caucasus & beyond.Formerly with @CrisisGroup & @ChathamHouse. Traveller & story collector
My first piece for Foreign Affairs is out.I take a look at how Azerbaijan’s role and influence have grown since the 2020 war, especially after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Its chance to help shape a new regional order might not last. foreignaffairs.com/azerbaijan/pre… via @ForeignAffairs
Relations between Israel and Türkiye, historically strong, are now at what @iacoskun labels “an all-time low.” What went wrong, and what’s next? What happens in Syria may provide some answers, writes Alper for Emissary: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/2025/…
В Баку остались недовольны реакцией Москвы на эту трагедию. 5/11
Shared a few thoughts in this @bbcrussian piece by @atanessi on tensions between Moscow and Baku. bbc.com/russian/articl…
Shared a few thoughts (for what they're worth) on the Russia–Azerbaijan tensions: Russia-Azerbaijan Tensions Soar, Threatening Moscow’s Influence nytimes.com/2025/07/02/wor…
The deaths of two brothers in Russian custody have laid bare a diplomatic rift with Azerbaijan, as it challenges Moscow's dominance in the South Caucasus and establishes itself as a regional power. From Magerram Zeynalov and me with @ZaurShiriyev comments bbc.co.uk/news/articles/…
Shared a few thoughts on how Azerbaijan is navigating the risks during the Israel-Iran war: rferl.org/a/azerbaijan-i…
‼️🎙️‼️ How is Russia reacting to the ongoing Israel-Iran war, what's at stake for the Kremlin, and what's Putin's gameplan? We've unpacked this in a short episode of @CEIP_Politika podcast with @NicoleGrajewski & @ArkadyMan. Tune in!
Supporting Iran in the current war doesn't seem like a top priority for Russia, despite the two countries' strategic partnership. What should we make of this? @AlexGabuev spoke with @NicoleGrajewski and @ArkadyMan for @CEIP_Politika: carnegieendowment.org/podcasts/carne…
A formal peace agreement between Azerbaijan and Armenia would put a definitive end to a decades-long conflict—and help prevent Russia from reasserting itself in the South Caucasus, argues @ZaurShiriyev. foreignaffairs.com/azerbaijan/pre…
“Armenia’s domestic fragility, waning global attention, and renewed Russian interest could derail the positive steps made over the past three years.” Read @ZaurShiriyev on Azerbaijan’s new geopolitical clout—and the factors delaying peace with Armenia: foreignaffairs.com/azerbaijan/pre…
🧵Geopolitical disruptions have sparked renewed recognition of 🇹🇷's geostrategic importance, its role as a capable @NATO ally & the importance of its burgeoning defense industry. In this report, I examined 🇹🇷's role in consolidating European security: cats-network.eu/publication/tu…
A formal peace agreement between Azerbaijan and Armenia would put a definitive end to a decades-long conflict—and help prevent Russia from reasserting itself in the South Caucasus, argues @ZaurShiriyev. foreignaffairs.com/azerbaijan/pre…
Excellent and very timely piece by my @CarnegieEndow colleague @ZaurShiriyev, containing sound policy suggestions. @CarnegieRussia @Carnegie_Europe
In my new piece for Strategic Europe, I look at how the EU and Turkey could work together in the South Caucasus, and what assumptions might need to change to make that possible: carnegieendowment.org/europe/strateg…
In my new piece for Strategic Europe, I look at how the EU and Turkey could work together in the South Caucasus, and what assumptions might need to change to make that possible: carnegieendowment.org/europe/strateg…
As the South Caucasus undergoes a strategic realignment, the EU & Turkey have an opportunity to recalibrate their engagement. Converging interests in connectivity might foster cooperation if long-standing assumptions are set aside, writes @ZaurShiriyev. carnegieendowment.org/europe/strateg…
Presidents Trump and Erdoğan share a personal affinity, some policy goals, and a transactional mindset. Where will their mutual penchant for deal-making take them – and their two countries? I wrote on this for @CarnegieEndow: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/2025/…
My colleague @AlexGabuev 's analysis in @ForeignAffairs is sharp and timely—an essential read on how Putin’s war has reshaped Russia and what Western strategy should be going forward. Highly recommended: foreignaffairs.com/russia/russia-…
