Tim Fist
@fiiiiiist
Director of Emerging Technology @IFP. Adjunct Senior Fellow @CNASdc. AI & compute policy, science, innovation.
Where did the PRC get its AI chips from in 2024? Here’s our best, very rough, guess. The smallest amount was likely chips manufactured in China: - ~8% of training compute - Or, ~5% of inference compute
There's so much handwaving about how "AI will cure cancer" or "AI will revolution science" What we need are more specific, actionable ideas for how AI could accelerate science & security Dropping next week: @IFP will publish 15 "AI for science" ideas from experts.
If Chicago's pension funds were passively managed in 2024 (instead of spread across 80+ management firms), the city would have saved ~$40,000,000 in management fees. And returns would have been about 25% better.
The People's Republic of China first began to build ships for export in 1975. By 2010, it had become the largest shipbuilder in the world, a title it still holds today. This week on Construction Physics, I look at the history of Chinese shipbuilding. construction-physics.com/p/how-china-be…
The Chip Security Act: A Bipartisan Solution to Chip Smuggling New from me: thefai.org/posts/the-chip…
mfw describing the imminent AGI-driven collapse of the ancien régime
America must do two things with tech: proliferate and protect. Proliferate so the free world runs on our stack. Protect so our adversaries don’t use it against us. Loose chips sink ships! I spoke with @RepMoolenaar about the Chip Security Act and how we get the balance…
Great thread on the nuts and bolts of location verification of AI chips by founder and former CTO of CrowdStrike
Chip Security Act (CSA) is a new bipartisan bill in Congress that requires advanced AI chips to have location verification to combat illicit diversion of exports of these chips to banned countries like China. A 🧵 on how this could work to enhance US export control enforcement
New from our security teams: Our AI agent Big Sleep helped us detect and foil an imminent exploit. We believe this is a first for an AI agent - definitely not the last - giving cybersecurity defenders new tools to stop threats before they’re widespread.
So excited to share that today @CSETGeorgetown and @emergingtechobs are launching an ✨updated✨ version of our chip supply chain explorer! We've got: 👉 New data 👉 New features 👉 New analysis Links in thread
Introducing FrontierMath Tier 4: a benchmark of extremely challenging research-level math problems, designed to test the limits of AI’s reasoning capabilities.
Three political positions that I think are severely underrated given the development of AGI: 1. @nathancofnas’ “hereditarian revolution” - the idea that the intellectual dominance of left-wing egalitarianism relies on group cognitive differences being taboo - is already very…
🚨 Calling transit policy experts: @IFP is seeking actionable, technically sound ideas to reform federal transit policy. Selected proposals will get a $2,000 honorarium + support to turn your idea into a full memo. Details: ifp.org/call-for-propo…
The story of Arthur Calwell establishing Australia’s postwar migration program contains an amazingly Lyndon Johnson-esque blend of statesmanship and Machiavellianism. Asks Chifley to appoint him Australia’s inaugural minister for immigration. Argues to Chifley that we need a…
Looking forward to serving. techcrunch.com/2025/06/06/ant…
What’s the return on government support for R&D? To try to get a credible answer, @open_phil and @SloanFoundation are committing up to $1 million to trying something new: we call it a Pop-Up Journal. Today, we’re inviting organizations to bid on a five-year contract to…
Silicon Valley is a strategic national asset whose jobs should be legally reserved for U.S. citizens. It’s a matter of national security. This shouldn’t be controversial.
Silicon Valley is a strategic national asset whose jobs should be legally reserved for U.S. citizens. It’s a matter of national security. This shouldn’t be controversial.