THE SHORT BEAR
@TheShortBear
Contrarian stoic trader and long term investor | 2013 | drive: Philosophy & Psychology | Tweets are purely for entertainment purposes and not investment advice
My Path This is the first hot market I have missed in 6 years I think. I was gone on vacation for 1 month and really thought about the way I want to approach trading and my life path going forward. __ The result: I do not want to be actively trading anymore. I do not want the…
Bloomberg US CONTAINER VOLUMES FALL TWO MONTHS RUNNING Private data shows that the number of shipping containers carrying U.S. imports declined for the second consecutive month, signaling one of the steepest year-over-year reversals ever recorded. In June, container volumes…
EU, US NEAR TRADE DEAL WITH 15% TARIFFS The EU and US are close to a trade deal setting 15% tariffs on European imports to avoid President Trump’s planned increase to 30% on August 1, sources told the FT. Some products, including aircraft, spirits, and medical devices, would be…
Barclays' Equity Euphoria Indicator is pushing toward its highest level in years—now nearing meme-mania highs seen in 2021.
China finding new trade and export partners. The new trade deal will tell us if this is a sustainable trend or not. Exports are up 5.8% Y/Y vs 5% estimate.
Calls represent almost 70% of options volume, we haven’t seen it this high since the 2020 craze.
🇨🇳ALIBABA LAUNCHED OPEN-SOURCE AI CODING MODEL, QWEN3-CODER- COMPANY STATEMENT THE MODEL IS DESIGNED FOR HIGH-PERFORMANCE SOFTWARE DEVELOPMENT AND TOUTED AS ITS MOST ADVANCED AI CODING MODEL TO DATE. #ALIBABA $BABA #CHINA #AI #QWEN #CODING
$UBER Targets Chinese Travelers via WeChat Uber has launched a Mini Program inside the WeChat app, allowing Chinese users to book international Uber rides without downloading the Uber app or needing foreign payment methods. 130 million Chinese tourists travel abroad each year.
$PYPL x $MELI.. and many more $PYPL will connect many of the world’s largest payment systems and digital wallets on a single platform.
Your digital wallet is about to go global. Say hello to PayPal World. PayPal and @Venmo are partnering with some of the world's largest payment systems and digital wallets - starting with @mercadopago, @NPCI_Intl, and Tenpay Global - to make cross-border payments a breeze. Shop…
*TRUMP: ANNOUNCES TRADE DEAL WITH JAPAN - $550 INVESTMENT AND 15% TARIFF
Global equities are breaking out higher. Emerging markets are breaking out as well. Never seen so much bullish behavior… and I’m not sure how to feel about it. Global easing and liquidity increase.
Health insurance and more specifically those exposed to Medicaid are retesting the lows set in 2018. Even the panic in 2020 held the level. Not the worst spot technically. A perfect 50% retracement.
More parallels with the dotcom narrative.
This is historic: The Nasdaq 100 has gone 60 consecutive trading days closing above its 20-day moving average, the longest streak since the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble. The previous record lasted for 77 straight sessions and ended in February 1999. During the current streak, the…
Healthcare has never been this cheap vs the S&P500. It’s entering the bottom third percentile in terms of price to earnings ratio as well.
$GOOGL
Someone bought $20,000,000 worth of $GOOGL 210 calls today Earning after the close tomorrow 👀
In the past 9 #equity bubbles have seen the average equity trough-to-peak gain = 244%, ending with the index 29% above 200-day moving average. Currently, the #Magnificent 7 are up 187% past 2 years, currently trading 11% above 200dma, so there is still some ways to go. h/t…
Why did we see rotation out of high beta? Exhibit A
