Stefan Schubert
@StefanFSchubert
Effective Altruism and the Human Mind (with @LuciusCaviola) is available for free at: https://academic.oup.com/book/56384
Our book on the psychology of effective altruism is now out, freely available on OUP (link below) @LuciusCaviola In Part I, we explain why most altruism - like donations and volunteering - isn't effective In Part II, we discuss how to change that 1/13 academic.oup.com/book/56384
I think weirdness is already rewarded quite a lot online. Eg it’s often rewarded at the expense of accuracy (which is under-rewarded), which is problematic.
Love this @robinhanson piece. This is why @ystrickler's 'dark forest theory' of the Internet is true. We should really reward risk, originality, unorthodoxy, and weirdness more. overcomingbias.com/2023/02/why-is…
It’s striking that some past jobs seemingly had few demands - eg Tolkien could write LotR. I’d guess management has grown more efficient, contributing to growth. But otoh it may have made those jobs more strenuous, meaning growth numbers overestimate life quality improvements.
Yes they clearly don’t believe it
For what it is worth, few industry leaders, less than a half-dozen companies & no policy-making bodies are taking actions that suggest that they expect AGI is really a few years away. This may be because they don’t believe it or they think it won’t matter much in the medium term
Listening to podcasts, it’s striking how often people refrain from correcting outright misunderstandings. Even in serious podcasts people often let it slide, presumably because they think it might embarrass their interlocutor. But if the point was good it’s a bit of a shame.
Many people overestimate the objectivity and reliability of GDP numbers as a measure of a country’s production.
And potential huge gains from a transition to EVs, strengthening the case for incentivising that transition.
Big estimates of negative externalities from traffic noise in the US conference.nber.org/conf_papers/f2…
A lot of people are blaming AI for grads’ poor outcomes, but I find the evidence for this claim is surprisingly thin. Excited to release a new analysis w/ @employamerica on the labor market performance of recent college grads. 🧵
Life is much more profoundly shaped by the top quintile.
I think one of the most radicalizing things about listening to Peter Singer talk when I was a teenager was that he had one of the first deeply numerate views of the world I'd heard. So many other big thinkers were so surface level. Think a lot of friends felt the same.
Wrote a quick blog post on the Amazon thing, bugs me how often it comes up in conversations
It’s disingenuous to suggest you’re taking a brave honest stance at the risk of getting cancelled when it’s in fact an entirely risk-free position to take
