Will Raderman
@RadWill_
Employment Policy Analyst at @niskanencenter Former: @pplpolicyproj @BUSPH @BernieSanders @ZephyrTeachout.
A lot of people are blaming AI for grads’ poor outcomes, but I find the evidence for this claim is surprisingly thin. Excited to release a new analysis w/ @employamerica on the labor market performance of recent college grads. 🧵
Some nice data about whether AI is affecting the broad employment of recent college grads - it’s complicated, but likely not yet. I’d love to see data for some specific fields like copywriting and graphic design where it probably has.
A lot of people are blaming AI for grads’ poor outcomes, but I find the evidence for this claim is surprisingly thin. Excited to release a new analysis w/ @employamerica on the labor market performance of recent college grads. 🧵
Hmmm
A lot of people are blaming AI for grads’ poor outcomes, but I find the evidence for this claim is surprisingly thin. Excited to release a new analysis w/ @employamerica on the labor market performance of recent college grads. 🧵
Check out @RadWill_'s guest post for @employamerica! Evidence AI is already accounting for labor mkt weakness is thin. But I wouldn't be shocked if firms that went big on capex and now looking to cut back spending use AI as a tactical justification for labor cuts (a la 2000-03)
A lot of people are blaming AI for grads’ poor outcomes, but I find the evidence for this claim is surprisingly thin. Excited to release a new analysis w/ @employamerica on the labor market performance of recent college grads. 🧵
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This finding lines up with @jburnmurdoch’s analysis from last Friday. If you haven’t read his piece yet, I highly recommend it! You can find it here: ft.com/content/a9eadb…
Long way to go, but so far the impact of AI on the labor market is not passing the "easily spot it on a chart" threshold
Since the release of ChatGPT, recent grad employment in AI-intensive sectors has kept pace w/ non-intensive sectors on net. If anything, recent grad employment has been a bit better of late (relative to the most recent pre-gen AI trend) in sectors where AI usage is greater.
More from Will here: x.com/RadWill_/statu…
A lot of people are blaming AI for grads’ poor outcomes, but I find the evidence for this claim is surprisingly thin. Excited to release a new analysis w/ @employamerica on the labor market performance of recent college grads. 🧵
But I don't think policymakers can wait until the data is unequivocally clear about the job impact of AI before starting to decide what to do about it. That's too late! It takes time to develop and implement responses, and so the work should begin now. 3/
It's fashionable to blame generative AI for high recent grad unemployment — but the evidence doesn’t hold up. Check out @RadWill_'s analysis for @employamerica!
A lot of people are blaming AI for grads’ poor outcomes, but I find the evidence for this claim is surprisingly thin. Excited to release a new analysis w/ @employamerica on the labor market performance of recent college grads. 🧵
Interesting thread matching what I found in the CPS with some additional data points on employment changes by college major, presumably from 2023 ACS x.com/RadWill_/statu…
A lot of people are blaming AI for grads’ poor outcomes, but I find the evidence for this claim is surprisingly thin. Excited to release a new analysis w/ @employamerica on the labor market performance of recent college grads. 🧵
First, @RadWill_ has a strong piece noting that the impact of AI on recent grads is less clear than some have suggested (including our piece). It raises a number of good points about the murkiness of the data and I recommend reading it. 2/ employamerica.org/labor-market-a…
I want to flag two good pieces out this morning that touch on AI and its job impacts. Both raise some questions about the analysis in our piece, but I don't think either reduces the need for policymakers to jump on this issue right away. 1/
The biggest economic issue that no one is talking about: AI is projected to replace 12 million jobs in the next decade. Americans say they're worried about it. But no national politician has a plan for it. A new piece with some ideas, from me, Zoe Jacobs, and Diego Haro. 1/
Big thank you to @PrestonMui at @employamerica for his input throughout the process! This analysis was made stronger because of him. Special thank yous to @mtkonczal @apmechan @GabeMenchaca @lawsonhmansell @marthagimbel for taking early looks and giving feedback as well!
A lot of people are blaming AI for grads’ poor outcomes, but I find the evidence for this claim is surprisingly thin. Excited to release a new analysis w/ @employamerica on the labor market performance of recent college grads. 🧵