Justin Sandefur
@JustinSandefur
Development economist. Currently @Open_Phil, previously @CGDev and @Oxford_CSAE.
Brace yourselves for a Trump-ier IMF
Managing Director @KGeorgieva today announced that First Deputy Managing Director @GitaGopinath will leave the IMF at the end of August to return to @Harvard University. Read the statement here: imf.org/en/News/Articl…
uh this is a pretty big narrative violation? 83% of Americans support giving medicine to developing nations 78% support giving them food and clothing 63% support economic development 61% support strengthening democracy close enough, welcome back liberal internationalism
I can only hope that one day these people will understand the crime in which they've taken part
One of the common questions in development econ is why so many countries had positive growth trend breaks after WWII. This papers claims it was due to deliberate US tech transfer, with individual firms seeing 25-50% productivity improvements and speeding tech adoption by years.
Pair of interesting job market papers on impacts of improving roads in low-income countries
Good messaging: the way to end PEPFAR is to *win*. Congress is clearly fatigued with a 20-year multi-billion dollar program. The admin wants to kill it. But with the advent of lenacapavir, we're actually closer than ever to being able to actually end PEPFAR... BY ENDING HIV.

A lot of conservatives seem to be under the impression that PEPFAR was briefly paused by mistake and will be back to normal soon. But no. The administration has repeatedly tried to destroy PEPFAR and Congress keeps telling them to stop and then they try again.
This is just vicious and cruel on simple humanitarian grounds. I'm not sure it sways anyone to add that it should discourage anyone from ever cooperating with the US military in the future, but that also seems true.

New PNAS paper on US academics' publication rates during tenure-track and post-tenure. Publication rates rise steeply until tenure and then plateau for lab-based fields, while declining for other fields.
Entered the Latin American phase of US history. Juan Linz total and complete vindication
Mohammed El-Erian doubles down on his call for Jerome Powell to resign — by doing so, he says, Powell protects the Fed’s independence as attacks on him morph into attacks on the Fed. #ABCDE2025
Mohammed El-Erian doubles down on his call for Jerome Powell to resign — by doing so, he says, Powell protects the Fed’s independence as attacks on him morph into attacks on the Fed. #ABCDE2025

New research: Heat increases the number of strongly undernourished households in India in the subsequent year. Households adapt to heat-induced losses of home-grown crops by purchasing more food. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
Our paper "Is Mobile Money Changing Rural Africa? Evidence from a Field Experiment" is now in print in the Review of Economics and Statistics! Main finding? Mobile money increased out-migration from rural areas and reduced agricultural investment. 🔗 doi.org/10.1162/rest_a…
"Kenya’s effort at fiscal consolidation to reduce deficits and debt levels will become a casualty to the need for bigger budgets to placate both elites and voters." @kopalo lays out the challenges faced by President Ruto in a @Semafor's #OneBigIdea column semafor.com/article/07/21/…