Joel Weingart
@JoelWeingart_
Politics/ Opinions are my own
It’s still only July 2025, but based on voter registration trends and the generic congressional ballot, there’s, so far, little sign of the blue wave Democrats were hoping for in 2026.
Lmao. There won’t be any voter backlash over the Epstein stuff and even less over Republicans redistricting. What a shit poll.
Politico: Democratic poll warns GOP redistricting could cost Republicans up to 7 points in competitive seats A poll by a Democratic firm found that 63 percent of likely voters across 22 of Texas’ congressional districts think the effort to redraw lines in the GOP’s favor is…
Republicans are countering because of IL, NY, and OR. It's Reps who are now punishing Dems for their past unfair gerrymandering
California must redistrict. This can not go unpunished.
If Republicans redraw the maps in these states, and Dems fail to redraw in CA + other states, the House becomes a toss-up — or maybe even Tilt R.
Looks like the GOP is very likely going to redistrict in Missouri and Florida. With a possibility in New Hampshire as well Missouri would be +1 Florida would be +3/4 NH would be +1 Dems might regret blustering about redistricting CA….. punchbowl.news/article/campai…
Wikipedia says Colbert is 61, but I think that's fake news.
Jon Stewart’s rebuttal to CBS canceling “The Late Show with Stephen Colbert” is every bit as cringey and terrible as you would expect it to be.
This 👇 is telling. We'll see what their ads look like in a few months, but for now, they’re clearly not afraid to align themselves with Trump.
these GOP candidates are counting on Trump to not be a drag come 2026, he might not be but an interesting strategy in a midterm election
I wonder if Thomas Massie is pulling these stunts (Epstein Files) because his internal numbers look bad, and he’s already accepted the writing on the wall, figuring he might as well go out making noise.
Is Suzan DelBene even doing her job?
PA-07 should be one of Democrats' best pickup opportunities, but the field so far has had challenges. Top fundraiser was a Republican until this year and only moved to the district months ago. The exec of the swing county raised <$100k. Newcomer Carol O raised <200k in 2 months.
I'm not exactly a believer in RMG's polling.
📊 2026 Generic Congressional Ballot 🟥 Republicans: 49% 🟦 Democrats: 45% —— • @NapolitanNews | RMG Research (B) • July 14-16 | 2,000 RV | MoE: ±2.2%
The thing is, Democrats don’t need a huge win next year to flip the House (though it gets tougher if TX hands Republicans 5 seats). But even if they manage to flip just 5 seats, it'd still be a major underperformance for them.
2026 could be a good year for Ds, but you’d have no idea based on registration numbers, fundraising, polling. I think the only favorable thing I have seen is their candidates that will run in races in 2026.
Holy moly. Republicans gained 6,600 in voter registration in frickin Pennsylvania, in *one* week. And a net gain of 3,300 in Philly alone.
**PA WEEKLY VOTER REG UPDATE** 7/14-7/21 Net🔴+6,629 Overall Lead🔵+67,635 Gains Since Dec 24🔴+63,139 An enormous gain this week with the GOP cutting the Dem lead over 6k voter regs. The lead for Dems has now dipped below 70k for the first time! 🔥🔥🔥 x.com/Five_Starrr/st…
Is there data on how independents typically turn out in off-year or midterm elections? Because if Dems have truly alienated them with their policies, we should see it reflected in this year’s results even if Dems have a turnout advantage over Republicans.
Republicans are dominating fundraising, both through their national committees and individual candidates + incumbents.
Year to date (raised / cash on hand): 🟥$214M / $126.2M RNC $96.4M / $80.8M NRSC $48.6M / $7.8M ($2M debt) NRCC $69M / $37.6M 🟦$175.5M / $68.4M DNC $69.2M / $15.2M DSCC $40.3M / $13.5M ($5.25M debt) DCCC $66M / $39.7M
The Democratic National Committee continues to struggle with its fundraising, the RNC outraising it $16.2M to $8.6M in June and $96.4M to $69.2M for the year. The RNC's cash on hand advantage widened to $65.56M last month ($80.78M to $15.22M).
Whoa... !!
Cash on hand as of June 30: Republican National Committee: $80.8 million Democratic National Committee: $15.2 million
Maybe it’s unpopular, but I’m not interested in seeing Obama arrested. Seeing Clapper, Brennan, or Comey in cuffs, though—that would be a different story.