Guntram Wolff

@GuntramWolff

Europe, climate, geo & defence econ, macro; Prof @SolvayEDU @ULBruxelles; fellow @Bruegel_org @kielinstitute; Frmr Director @dgapev, @Bruegel_org RT≠endorsement

Joined March 2013

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Guntram Wolff Retweeted

Joseph Steinberg@jbsteinberg · Jul 14

Once again, I'm disappointed to see Autor and co inappropriately extrapolating their DiD results to make conclusions about aggregate effects, and I'm disappointed in the media for giving these unwarranted conclusions space. [1/x] nytimes.com/2025/07/14/opi…

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Guntram Wolff@GuntramWolff · Jul 23

economist.com/leaders/2025/0…

GuntramWolff's tweet card. A new law jeopardises Ukraine’s progress against corruption—and erodes the Western support it needs

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Rudi Bachmann@BachmannRudi · Jul 23

Mein Kiel Report "Quo vadis, USA?" ist da (Link im naechsten Tweet). Ich bin @kielinstitute und @MSchularick sehr dankbar, dass ich mal etwas ausfuehrlicher meine Gedanken zur aktuellen politischen, gesellschaftlichen und wirtschaftlichen Situation in den USA aufschreiben konnte.

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Guntram Wolff@GuntramWolff · Jul 21

Question to @bundeswehrInfo : do you have a drone strategy that is up to the challenge? cc @MSchularick @CarloMasala1

4414 Magyar's Birds@414magyarbirds · Jul 20

Robert "Magyar" Brovdi delivered hard truths about the war to NATO generals at LANDEURO 2025 in Wiesbaden. 🔻Key points: • No tank in the world can withstand a $400 drone. • What will NATO do if Shaheds fly over Europe? Your doctrines need an urgent review. • Unmanned Systems…

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Guntram Wolff@GuntramWolff · Jul 19

Reposting our piece on why European financial reform needs to go beyond competitiveness in the new geopolitical age cepr.org/voxeu/columns/…

GuntramWolff's tweet card. Europe has recently pivoted to regulatory simplification with the aim to boost competitiveness. This column argues that in banking the debate needs to go beyond competitiveness and be embedded within...

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Guntram Wolff@GuntramWolff · Jul 17

A punchy comment on the #MFF proposal of the European Commission by @ZsoltDarvas bruegel.org/first-glance/e…

GuntramWolff's tweet card. European Commission proposals for the next multiannual EU budget contain some good ideas but fall far short of the needed radical rethink

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Guntram Wolff@GuntramWolff · Jul 17

Good new piece on Russia's economy by @elinaribakova and @ben_hilgenstock bruegel.org/analysis/why-r…

GuntramWolff's tweet card. A contracting economy and low oil prices are signs of potential constraint on Russia’s ability to maintain its military capabilities

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Guntram Wolff@GuntramWolff · Jul 15

Trump kümmert sich um seine Industrie, und das in einer Weise, die der russischen Offensive nichts entgegensetzt. Der Rest seiner „Drohungen“ ist hohles Gerede. Da ist kein Kurswechsel erkennbar. Er bleibt unausgesprochen Putins Verbündeter.

NNico Lange@nicolange_ · Jul 14

Dass Trump jetzt dazu bereit ist, Flugabwehrsysteme wie Patriot und Munition für Patriot und M-Shorad von EU-Staaten für die Ukraine in den USA kaufen zu lassen, ist ein wichtiger Fortschritt, aber kein Zeichen dafür, dass sich die USA jetzt wieder um die Ukraine "kümmern". 🧵

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Guntram Wolff@GuntramWolff · Jul 15

Diese konservative Ohrfeige für Spahn, Klöckner und auch Merz ist lesenswert

RRudi Bachmann@BachmannRudi · Jul 14

Der geschätzte @Puettmann_Bonn zur Verfassungsrichterwahl und der umliegenden Debatte, aus dezidiert konservativer Sicht. Einer der besten Beiträge, die ich bisher dazu gelesen habe. Jens Spahn kommt dabei viel schlechter weg als bei linken Kritikern. domradio.de/artikel/publiz…

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Guntram Wolff@GuntramWolff · Jul 15

In the new geopolitical context, Europe’s banking discussions need to go beyond competitiveness New piece with Mathias Dewatripont, Peter Praet and André Sapir. cepr.org/voxeu/columns/… via @cepr_org

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Guntram Wolff@GuntramWolff · Jul 14

🎧Fit for war by 2030? Über zentrale Ergebnisse aus seinem Kiel Report rund um die Stichworte Rüstungsausgaben & Wehrfähigkeit hat @GuntramWolff im Podcast mit @thinkBTO gesprochen 👇 📘Mehr zum Report 👉 ifw-kiel.de/de/publikation…

DDr. Daniel Stelter@thinkBTO · Jul 13

Heute bei BTO: Wie kann Europa schneller, günstiger und strategischer aufrüsten? Was braucht es für eine echte industrielle Verteidigungsstrategie? Als Experte dabei: @GuntramWolff think-beyondtheobvious.com/ruestungsmilli…

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Guntram Wolff@GuntramWolff · Jul 13

European governments still believe US can be trusted as reliable supplier of weapons? @USDPColby: "Colby said it would be “great” if Australia got the boats, but there was a “very real threat of a conflict in the coming years” and US would need the boats ft.com/content/c1c7aa…

GuntramWolff's tweet card. Critics say review of Aukus pact aims to force Australia to spend more on its own defence

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Dr. Daniel Stelter@thinkBTO · Jul 13

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Ursula von der Leyen@vonderleyen · Jul 13

President @prabowo and I have reached a political agreement to advance the 🇪🇺🇮🇩 free trade agreement. In a volatile world, this is the strength of partnerships.

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Guntram Wolff@GuntramWolff · Jul 12

Fully agree. It is time to have a broad alliance between EU, Mexico, Canada and Brazil....retaliate in specific items that hurt US but don't hurt much the alliance. Which goods can we identify?

OOlivier Blanchard@ojblanchard1 · Jul 12

PS1. Think of common intelligent retaliation not just by EU, but EU+Japan+Canada+Brazil+whoever is willing to participate. The more countries, the better the common retaliation list. By cutting more sources, common tariffs on some products hurt the US more; by increasing the…

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Guntram Wolff Retweeted

Julia Löhr@JuliaLoehr · Jul 11

Mietpreisbremse bald in verschärfter Form mit Bußgeldern? So endet diese Wohnungskrise nie faz.net/aktuell/wirtsc…

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Guntram Wolff@GuntramWolff · Jul 12

Intelligent retaliation makes sense. But you need to have the capacity to sustain it and absorb effects of reciprocal intelligent retaliation, for example against car industry... are we there?

OOlivier Blanchard@ojblanchard1 · Jul 12

Tariffs on EU goods just announced: 30% across the board, probably higher in some sectors. Being nice, giving up the digital tax, did not achieve anything for Europe. Intelligent retaliation is of the essence, even if it leads to dangerous economic and geopolitical waters in…

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Guntram Wolff@GuntramWolff · Jul 12

Trade with US is less than 10% of our trade. US consumers cannot shift to other suppliers as also Canada and Japan under tariff. So burden more on US. Important to be united now in EU and let Commission negotiate. Good first take by @MSchularick

MMoritz Schularick@MSchularick · Jul 12

Trump eskaliert den Zollstreit. Wichtig ist jetzt, dass Europa hinter der Kommission steht und sich nicht teilen lässt. Dann: ruhig kommunizieren, welche Maßnahmen die EU ergreift, wenn es bis zum 1.8. keine Verhandlungslösung gibt und den Dienstleistungshandel einbeziehen. 1/N

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Rep. Veronica Escobar@RepEscobar · Jul 11

This week, ICE illegally denied me entry into a processing facility in my district, and today, they released a statement saying I “[gave] the appearance of a political stunt intended to generate publicity rather than pursue genuine oversight.” I have some thoughts.🧵

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Alex Raufoglu@ralakbar · Jul 11

HAPPENING NOW!! Moving scene - tears, hugs, and cheers - inside the State Dept HQ tonight, as diplomats gathered in the lobby to clap out their laid off colleague, some of which have served for decades 👇🏻

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