Chris Pavese
@ChrisPavese
Excited to share this year's summer reading list. A few highlights below along with a link to the full piece. 🧵🧵🧵
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I am Nate Anderson, the founder of Hindenburg Research referenced repeatedly in this bizarre and fantastical interview. During my career, I helped expose numerous financial scams, including over a dozen Ponzi schemes and numerous instances of public companies lying to and…
Roundhill may have thrown in the towel too early on $MEME Fund liquidated
Might be selective memory, but is this always playing when you guys are waiting at the DMV too?? youtu.be/9f16Fw_K45s?si…
Tell you when I see it . . .
What’s the best small cap you’ve never seen anyone write about or mention?
"A consultancy run by a former Las Vegas stripper and reality TV contestant." $NUTX Thought I'd seen it all. But this is a new one for me.
We are short Nutex ($NUTX), a reverse merger and one-time penny stock which surged more than 20x after it began flooding the NSA arbitration portal using HaloMD, a consultancy run by a former Las Vegas stripper and reality TV contestant. Full report at blueorcacapital.com
Maybe just early? 🥸
The growing short case on $FB and $GOOG: 1. New product experiences 2. Regulation 3. Taxes 4. Anti-trust If you have the capital/stomach for a 5yr+ bet, here’s how I’d build the short case...
I wonder if the chorus pointing to the “structural housing shortage” in the US have modeled this shadow supply likely to come on line. 🤨
Warren Buffett's Birkshire Hathaway HomeServices say demographics could lead to a home price collapse. "Between 13.1 and 14.6 million boomers will abandon homeownership from 2026-2036, raising housing industry fears that such a large inventory of homes could lead to price…
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When a whole sector is at all time low valuations relative to the market (0th percentile) it should be of interest to all investors (table from GS)
JPM: The latest episode of extreme crowding is now in High Beta at 100%ile. High Beta spans across both riskier low quality value and speculative growth stocks. This is driven by a combination of markets increasingly pricing in a goldilocks outcome (e.g. growth resilience and…
So good.
AI is getting out of its limits 🤯 It's Insane to see what people are creating over days 10 Wild examples: 1. Elon in action with Trump
Anybody know why @OpenAI ChatGPT o3 and 03-Pro ALWAY reply in lower-case text like it's writing code, no matter how many times you tell it to "ALWAYS use Sentence Case in your replies."
We see it!
Next time you find yourself thinking “Why does Dollar General have a moat/business?” Just get in a car a drive to places you haven’t been. You’ll see it.
Pause for a second and think about how distorted this is by the top 10% of households. Then consider what it means for the “average” consumer.
Why does the average consumer feel worse off? Because 41% of consumer spending goes to: housing, utilities, healthcare, medications, and insurance. This was 16% in 1947, 30% in 1980, and 35% in 1990. Fewer consumer dollars are left for true discretionary spending.
Fixed it.
A new acronym for the meme stocks that just won’t quit!!! PARC!
Really wish this feature were available for email . . . cc: @Superhuman
$NVDA math.
Nvidia market cap is up ~200bn$ in pre market on the back of the rumor they will be allowed to resumed reselling the limited version of an outdated GPU to China Just to put this into perspective, assuming paradoxically that sales of H20 remain at the highest levels no matter…
US Spirits volume growth - negative for three years running . . . . 😲😲😲 $DEO $RI $BF
US Spirits volume growth - negative for three years running . . . . 😲😲😲 $DEO $RI $BF