Zachary Lorico Hertz
@zacharylhertz
Research: elections, local politics, race in America @UCBerkeley | Work: @BerkeleyIGS poll | Previously: @AAPIData, @DataProgress, @UChicago, @TuftsUniversity
Happy to say that this paper is now in print @ElectionLawJrnl, and open access for 30 days here: bit.ly/3sPwXWS
I'm excited to announce my paper, "Does a Switch to By-District Elections Reduce Racial Turnout Disparities in Local Elections? The Impact of the California Voting Rights Act" was accepted at @ElectionLawJrnl! Current draft here: zacharylhertz.github.io/files/Hertz_20… Short obligatory 🧵:
Really enjoyed talking with @chrislhayes about how protests can shape public opinion. He also invited me to share a bit of my personal story which helps put the research in context — Youtube youtube.com/watch?v=trOd-w… — Apple podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/why… — Spotify open.spotify.com/episode/2BydYN…
Excited to share my new article in Political Behavior! If people cared more about the future, would they support policies to address long-term issues like climate change? tldr: Life experiences shape future-orientation and climate policy support. 🧵⬇️
Alexander Gazmararian finds that becoming a parent increases support for climate action, suggesting that valuing the future can reshape policy preferences. A fresh take on how personal experience shifts political views! #PolicyPreferences Read more: link.springer.com/article/10.100…
Trying to think through the political ramifications of the punching bags emblazoned with the queen’s royal cypher in the Heathrow T2 kid’s play pen
consider using $(X^T X)^{-1} X^T y$ instead
about to use y=mx+b to figure out the slope of the line you just crossed
omg wait nvm i just found it in my dropbox. if anyone wants to read my very basic zine about why long-distance rail is slow in america here it is!! fair warning i am no design expert and i made this for a little class at my local art center and it probably has some typos
realizing i accidentally created Lost Media by giving away every copy of the 2500+ word amtrak zine i made and then losing the original file
Excited to share this new paper I have out with @NicoleEHuffman and Ryan Vander Wielen! Why do Republican women in Congress violate gendered behavioral expectations and engage in obstructive behaviors when the public overwhelmingly desires compromise? We have answers!
Why do politicians obstruct when the public favors compromise? My first first-author publication looks at this. I'm excited to share this incredible project @lrpalladino, Ryan Vander Wielen, and I have been working on! onlinelibrary.wiley.com/share/author/8… 🧵
I wrote this poem in a feverish haze last summer in my friend’s room, which had been stripped completely empty except for the bed, placed diagonally in the center of the room. I think it reflects that mindset a bit, and I hope you enjoy reading it (ideally on desktop)
One place, three moments. In My Hometown by @zacharylhertz eulogy.press/#in-my-hometow…
For the morning crowd! Don’t miss this triple column story about finding and returning home by @zacharylhertz
One place, three moments. In My Hometown by @zacharylhertz eulogy.press/#in-my-hometow…
After each election cycle, we review how our polls performed and examine our sampling and weighting procedures. The public version of that report is now available. It focuses on vote recall weighting, but also discusses turnout and political engagement.
New paper available online @The_JOP! "Working Hand in Hand: Interest Groups and Cooperative Dynamics in Elections" offers a new theory of electoral collaboration, building on the concept of "legislative subsidies". Check it out below! journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/73…
Oakland reached 75+ degrees 3 times in February and only once so far in July. #CAwx
🚨🚨🚨 The Goldman School of Public Policy at UC Berkeley is looking for a postdoc on US voting/election policy. I have a feeling this work is gonna be important... Link to application in reply (musk algo wack)
It’s impossible to understate how valuable working at DFP as a Polling Analyst was! I learned a ton and frankly could not think of a better group of people to call colleagues. Apply!
📢 Come work at Data for Progress! Have a knack for data and an interest in research? We're hiring a polling analyst to help draft survey questions, analyze data, and craft polling memos for the progressive movement. Apply at the link below ⤵️
Bonica packed so much into his midyear roundup. Analysis of: -executive branch violating Constitution -fights in the judicial branch -increasingly concentrated money in politics -gerontocracy -Dems’ mobilization problems data4democracy.substack.com/p/on-data-and-…
You might think wow this is some sick shit (it is). But it’s just endogenous partisanship: the Epstein story has led to a shrinking set of Republican identifiers and the remaining Republican identifiers willing to talk to pollsters are the craziest.
Donald Trump Approval Rating Among Republicans 🟢 Approve: 92% (+5) 🔴 Disapprove: 8% (-4) (Compared to Last Poll) AtlasIntel | July 13-18