Will Jordan
@williamjordann
Dem pollster with Global Strategy Group. Bakersfield native.
Stepping back, the president has recently faced difficulty on multiple fronts besides Epstein - disapproval for his handling of TX floods (biggest normie news story of past month), slow drip of ICE raids, not to mention unpopular OBBB.
Six months into his second term, President Donald Trump’s job approval rating has dipped to 37%. This is the lowest rating of Trump's second term and just slightly higher than his all-time worst rating of 34% at the end of his first term.
Seems lost in the conversation about Colbert that the evidence from cable news is that a partisan show is possibly the best way to secure a loyal audience. Fox has bragged “Gutfeld!” topped Colbert (BS tho, he’s in an earlier slot). The problem is “watching linear TV at midnight”
I'm a proud father, husband, former public school math teacher, and Nevada Attorney General. My name is Aaron Ford, and I’m running for Governor to build a Nevada where every family in every neighborhood can get ahead.
One factor in streaming and social media growth among seniors is the rise in internet use. Pew data suggests as recently as 2018, a third of Americans 65+ did not use the internet.
I don’t know if you call it an inside straight but Ds’ current position rests on holding what is it, 10 of 12 Senate seats in core BGs? And we are at 47. There will always be Collinses and Manchins. Anyway, imo as a candidate “literally 50+1” makes sense, as a party, it’s cope.
People say this all the time but couldn’t they just simply get to 50 or 51 seats by winning blue states and purple states. I don’t think it’s accurate to call that a political inside straight since the results will correlate with each other as long as they’re winning nationally.
We have not seen a midterm Senate election in NC under a Republican president since 2002, when the state was R+14 relative to the nation.
People don’t realize that this is actually a legitimate argument. Dems have found every way possible to lose federal races in NC for 17 years straight. Honestly, I’ve yet to hear a compelling case for why Cooper is in anything more than a 50/50 race against Whatley.
It’s not just the ability to pass laws - the judiciary gets bleak very quickly. The republic legitimately might not survive.
This is a great question to ask. As someone left of center, if you think the answer is the second one, think hard about what needs to change or accept you believe there is basically no chance of Democrats controlling the Senate and passing real laws for the next decade or so.
This is a great question to ask. As someone left of center, if you think the answer is the second one, think hard about what needs to change or accept you believe there is basically no chance of Democrats controlling the Senate and passing real laws for the next decade or so.
Seen this clip a couple times an only just had the jump scare realizing the guest is Ezra Klein (tries/fails to get a word in at one point)
"...the second he started talking about Obama, I was like oh, he's guilty..." 🛎️🛎️🛎️
lol
Trump reaches highest approval rating since March, per Emerson poll.
The url link for "Jewish Voices Back Jack" was marked under.... "jack4nj/copy-of-italians"
Well technically, 2024/2025 the indies are +2 and GOP is +4, but I admit that feels noisy. Averaging the 3 first and 3 last years of Pew series, though, increasing GOP ID takes about 40% of the shift away from Dems, Indie ID takes 60%. So we can make of that what we will…
to me the telling trend is not a dramatic increase in conservatism but rather young Dems trending towards refused/no lean — frustration with the status quo
Redistricting etc, but OH-07 is high on the list of “solid Republican according to Cook but primed for a surprising result” in a wave year. Trump+9/Miller+15… really to the left of 2018’s biggest flips for example. (Important to dream big.)
Goodness, what a blast from the past. Ed FitzGerald (D) filed to run against Rep. Max Miller (R) in OH-07. FitzGerald was the disastrous OH Dem nominee for governor in 2014. cc: @kkondik cleveland.com/news/2025/07/e…
% saying they think that Donald Trump was involved in crimes allegedly committed by Jeffrey Epstein, in polls conducted Jul 8-9 | Jul 23-24 U.S. adults 40% | 45% Democrats 69% | 77% Independents 41% | 45% Republicans 7% | 11% today.yougov.com/topics/politic… today.yougov.com/topics/politic…
The US adult population has gone from D+6 in 2020 to R+1 today, according to fresh @pewresearch NPORS data. pewresearch.org/politics/fact-…
Some of this is likely noise (they got more Dem 2023-2024?) but the 4 year arc is there.
Pew says 90s babies swung 11 points to the right between early 2024 to early 2025 (from D+14 to D+3)
Pew says 90s babies swung 11 points to the right between early 2024 to early 2025 (from D+14 to D+3)
NEW Huge gender gap in party ID among young people in @pewresearch's annual benchmarking survey (NPORS). Under 30 men: 52% identify w/ (or lean toward) GOP vs. just 34% who align with Democrats Women: 58% ID as Democrats (or lean Dem), 37% align w/ GOP. pewresearch.org/methods/fact-s…