Tom Shugart
@tshugart3
Defense analyst, former submariner, bugsmasher pilot/flight instructor. Founder, Archer Strategic Consulting. @cnasdc Adjunct Senior Fellow. Opinions my own.
I was pleased to contribute to this must-watch @WSJ explainer video on China's new Shuiqiao-class "invasion barges" (LPUs), which appear to be built to support an invasion of Taiwan. wsj.com/video/series/o…
🎯
The US needs _people_ to build ships & effectively compete with China. This rare moment lays the groundwork to focus on practical skills, tap into patriotic and underserved labor pools, and expand shipbuilding beyond traditional hubs. In @WarOnTheRocks: warontherocks.com/2025/07/a-work…
The US needs _people_ to build ships & effectively compete with China. This rare moment lays the groundwork to focus on practical skills, tap into patriotic and underserved labor pools, and expand shipbuilding beyond traditional hubs. In @WarOnTheRocks: warontherocks.com/2025/07/a-work…
Looks like a couple of Bohai Ferries are doing an exercise off of Dongshan Island, at the southern end of the Taiwan Strait. They headed down from their usual Yellow Sea routes a few days ago.
🧵 I've been writing something on the intelligence & national-security applications of frontier AI models. This is an experiment in seeing what one of them, OpenAI's o3-pro model, might be able to do in an area relevant to national security.
A stark reminder of the problem America faces: China's largest shipbuilder built more ships by tonnage last year than America has built in total since World War 2.
Lots of magical stuff going on in a nuclear submarine (image from reddit).
Veterans, did you ever see anything you’d consider “supernatural” while serving?
Robert "Magyar" Brovdi delivered hard truths about the war to NATO generals at LANDEURO 2025 in Wiesbaden. 🔻Key points: • No tank in the world can withstand a $400 drone. • What will NATO do if Shaheds fly over Europe? Your doctrines need an urgent review. • Unmanned Systems…