Lionel Page
@page_eco
Professor UQ. Director @UQCUBES. Editor JESA. Tweets on economics, psychology, & society. Book: Optimally Irrational, https://www.optimallyirrational.com
Many birds have four colour-sensing cone cell types in their eyes (unlike our three and most mammals' two), giving them vision into the UV range, and (presumably) a much richer experience of colour. Birds that appear dull brown to us likely appear resplendent to other birds
share your favorite piece of bird lore
This is really not surprising. In liberal countries, gay men have an interest in signaling their difference to find potentially like-minded partners. The differences in voices are perhaps influenced by innate characteristics, but you’d expect strategic differences in…
I sent this to a friend, who is a partner at a prominent law firm. Their response, verbatim: “lol no. We’ve tried all the frontier models. It’s useful for doing a first pass on low level stuff, but makes tons of mistakes and associate has to check everything.”
A partner at a prominent law firm told me “AI is now doing work that used to be done by 1st to 3rd year associates. AI can generate a motion in an hour that might take an associate a week. And the work is better. Someone should tell the folks applying to law school right now.”
I'm observing a mini Moravec's paradox within robotics: gymnastics that are difficult for humans are much easier for robots than "unsexy" tasks like cooking, cleaning, and assembling. It leads to a cognitive dissonance for people outside the field, "so, robots can parkour &…
Another quietly subversive paper. Urbanists are often young and childless — this is a unique demographic most interested in city centers Even in Copenhagen, people move to the city when young, but move out to suburbs when they get married/have kids, and don't move back
Nice paper and a theme of SI Urban so far: people don't like density, will pay to get away from it. Graph shows home price changes as you cross the line into a neighborhood with a higher minimum lot size. 1/
You’re probably not right about everything. But what if your whole political identity is built on that assumption?- What are the chances you’re right about everything? by @page_eco optimallyirrational.com/p/what-are-the…
'water is transparent only within a very narrow band of the electromagnetic spectrum, so living organisms evolved sensitivity to that band, and that's what we now call "visible light". ' (found via HN)
A road in Pompeii, built before AD 79, the small white stones reflected moonlight, making it easier to see at night.
This (👇) illustrates just how popular citizens' assemblies (CAs) have become in the past two decades, with some arguing that the ills of representative democracy can be addressed by deploying CAs more extensively. Here is why I tend to be sceptical about these arguments. 1/n
NEW: Labour will introduce citizens' assemblies to decide contentious issues, such as Lords reform and housebuilding Sue Gray has told @TomBaldwin66 of the “transformational” success of bodies in Ireland that built consensus for constitutional change politics.co.uk/news/2024/02/1…
An economist in Sweden just got a hold of the data from a quarter of a billion online chess games held on @chesscom to test a classic question: Does winning one game make you more likely to win the next? In other words: do “hot hands” or “psychological momentum” exist in…
Scientific claims that are published multiple times are more likely to replicate than if published only once. And this is especially so if the multiple publications are from *independent* teams
Life in 1776: - heat is such a luxury that Thomas Jefferson can’t write in deep winter bc his ink freezes (one reason perhaps why Independence Day is in July) - nighttime darkness is such a burden that George Washington reportedly spent $15k in today’s dollars on candles every…
No, that would make gold worthless and we’d all still be poor. Take a goddamn economics class.
Asteroid Psyche 16 has been found to contain gold reserves worth $700 quintillion. That's enough to make everyone on Earth billionaires.
Another great example of how we adapt to success and overestimate how happy it will make us.
"Now, all these years later, I’m certain that I got famous so I would not waste my entire life trying to get famous. You have to get famous to know that it’s not the answer. And nobody who is not famous will ever truly believe that." Matthew Perry
How has the normative turn in social science affected our ability to produce and use theory? Using a case study of punishment studies during/after the normative turn, I find authors are mistaking normativity for theory. Published today in @Theory_Society! link.springer.com/article/10.100…
So Zelensky did everything Trump asked him to do, signed away mineral rights, agreed to an unconditional ceasefire, and the U.S. still cut off previously funded weapons supplies, leaving Ukrainian cities defenseless against Russian missile strikes. A lesson to all here.
BREAKING: White House confirms it has halted weapons that Ukraine was scheduled to receive, including PAC3 Patriots, 155mm artillery rounds, GMLRS, Stinger, AIM-7, and Hellfire missiles. @AnnaKelly47 tells me: “This decision was made to put America’s interests first following a…