Benjamin Todd
@ben_j_todd
Trying to understand AGI and what to do about it Founder @80000Hours 🦑
How can you personally prepare for AGI? Well maybe we all die. Then all you can do is try to enjoy your remaining years. But let’s suppose we don’t. How can you maximise your chances of surviving and flourishing in whatever happens after? The best ideas I've heard so far: 🧵
There's very little evidence AI is already having significant effects on employment.
Financial Times analysis: US jobs at a high risk from generative AI have not been more likely to shed young workers since ChatGPT launched
Full version of this research out now: x.com/METR_Evals/sta…
More great METR research in the works: AI models can do 1h coding & math tasks, but only 1 minute agentic computer use tasks, like using a web browser. However, horizon for computer use is doubling every 4 months, reaching ~1h in just two years. So web agents in 2027?
New AI benchmark: the crank index Rate of rejected posts on LessWrong up 10x in 2 years. Many are people convinced they have had an insight about consciousness or philosophy from talking to an LLM, and had the LLM help them write the post.
This is a great interview, but I'm skeptical of the claims about near-term unemployment: 1) If trends continue, in 2yr we'll have AI agents that can do well-defined 1 week programming tasks. But how much work can be broken down into those chunks? If it's only ~50%, that just…
Geoffrey Hinton just had the most important AI interview of 2025. He revealed mind-blowing facts about AI that 99% of people wouldn't know... Including which career path to choose. You won't believe what you're about to hear. Here are his 8 most shocking insights: (thread) 🧵