Adrian IAB

With the mayoral election fast approaching, let's look at one of the most interesting seats in the city: Queens' AD-23. Last year, the sprawling seat voted for Trump by 14% but re-elected Asm. @Stacey23AD (D) by 3% due to several areas of varying ticket splitting 🧵

Rhode Island Senator Jack Reed has long been one of the Senate's big overperformers, having carried every town in three successive races. Though it is noteworthy that beginning with the 2008 rematch his margins started slipping.

Conversely, David Weprin organized a "Anyone but Mamdani" rally while repping a Mamdani+6 seat

-rough Cuomo # & perhaps evidence of RCV strategies’ effect; -somewhere around 6% of voters had both Mamdani & Cuomo on their ballots(!) -v strong Lander # -far better race for Myrie than his first-place tally would indicate

% of valid ballots that X candidate was included on: Mamdani - 60% of ballots (639,905) Lander - 59% (632,155) A. Adams - 54% (578,794) Cuomo - 46% (489,926) Myrie - 40% (430,071) Stringer - 31% (332,142) Blake - 25% (269,992) Ramos - 14% (154,401) Tilson - 9% (100,215) 1/2

Breaking News: The U.S. attorney’s office in New Jersey was thrown into chaos as Pam Bondi intervened to keep Alina Habba in the job. nyti.ms/4517c5q

Japanese Prime Minister Ishiba intends to resign at the end of August. Staying on for all of August will allow him to make a mark oh history by being leader of Japan during ceremonies marking the 80th anniversaries of the atomic bombings of Hiroshima & Nagasaki and the end of…

Final round of the mayoral primary if it was Brad Lander vs Andrew Cuomo. 🟢 Brad Lander - 526,543 (54.4%) 🟡 Andrew Cuomo - 441,154 (45.6%)

Happy CVR release day! We've got OFFICIAL NYC Mayoral Ranked Choice results!! Here's the final round map:

Changes in Japanese views from 2016 to 2025 (from Ipsos polling): •“Japan is in decline” 40% → 70% •“Ignored by traditional parties” 39% → 68% •“Prioritize hiring nationals if jobs are scarce” 38% → 60% •“Immigrants are taking jobs” 12% → 36% Fertile ground for Sanseito?

Wow. Wow. WOW! 45 year old Legend Venus Williams, playing her first singles match since march 2024, defeats world #35 Peyton Stearns 6-3, 6-4 to reach the 2nd round in Washington WTA 500. Hit 9 aces. That's her first singles win since august 2023. Simply UNREAL.

🧵 The data you have all been waiting for! The NYC mayoral primary WITHOUT batch elimination (and some early analysis) 1) Zohran's first round (469,642) would have been enough to win against Cuomo's final round (443,229)

Hijacking this to point out the Lander-Cuomo voters

Just got to a laptop but NYC data out!!

PRECINCT LEVEL RESULTS FOR THE FINAL ROUND ARE OUT!!!! Blue is Zohran, Yellow is Cuomo!

The Final Map ! — You can see the Commie Corridor + Hillside Avenue from space — Mamdani blitzed Cuomo in Harlem, Hamilton Heights, & Bed-Stuy — Cuomo holds the UWS & UES, but submits a poor showing in Manhattan A new map of NYC: less stratified by race, more by housing and age

Final, certified results in the mayoral primary. 1,071,730 people voted, which is about 32% of all 3.3 million registered New York City Democrats. Mamdani beat Cuomo 56-44.

NOOOOOOOO