Twister Kid
@TwisterKidMedia
A Lyons. SPC fcstr. Opinions are my own. http://Youtube.com/TwisterKidmedia
@NWSRapidCity reported near Parmelee, SD Todd County (Lat 43.323, Lon -101.057) at 7/20/2025, 6:30:05 PM. #SDwx // generated by Report Buddy: V0.5
Great news! New fact sheet posted by @WhiteHouse highlights @NWS employees as an example of a public safety exemption, where filling vacancies/creating new ones will not need approval from agency leadership. I’m assuming we will be receiving more guidance on this soon.
Thanks I guess. Still not cool with seeing your politicized content. You represent all americans not just conservatives. Funding cuts/mass layoffs hurt our ability to predict things accurately. Research from OAR saves lives.
The mainstream media is deliberately lying about the events leading up to the catastrophic flooding in Texas. The National Weather Service executed timely, precise forecasting and warnings, despite unprecedented rainfall overwhelming the region. Here is the timeline of NWS’s…
We are BACK in action tomorrow afternoon targeting tornado potential across the Nebraska Sandhills! A few supercells will likely develop by mid afternoon with all hazards on the table. We already have a live stream scheduled for this.
I am not an expert in disaster preparedness like some of my EM friends but I am a casual reader of NTSB and other post accident assesments. This whole event reeks of a classic "chain of disaster" where a series of benign seeming choices and ignored info perfectly aligned. Tragic.
Texas officials have long worried about the dangers to children who packed into camps each summer along the flood-prone Guadalupe River. They knew that warning systems were inadequate. So why was nothing done? We have reviewed documents spanning a decade to find answers. 🧵 1/9
You're talking about the upper echelon of localized heavy rainfall in events like this. This is akin to tornado forecasting. You're not able to actually forecast the event rather the conditions that support it. Some of the discourse around this is incredibly dumb.
Another issue here is mismatch between public expectation & scientific reality re: what's possible in predicting localized convective extremes (i.e., severe/torrential t-storms). Days/environments supportive of such risk are predictable; exact timing/location/intensity of…
There have been claims that NOAA/NWS did not foresee catastrophic TX floods--but that's simply not true. This was undoubtedly an extreme event, but messaging rapidly escalated beginning ~12 hrs prior. Flood Watch mid PM, "heads up" outlook late PM, flash flood warnings ~1am.
Post shared elsewhere from a WPC forecaster who was working last night demonstrating the value of weather balloon data to short-term forecasting of hazards including flash flooding and severe weather.
Big thank you to @TwisterKidMedia for the invite to tour the SPC today. Very insightful visit talking to everyone there and learned a ton about the forecast and outlook systems they base operations on. Was also cool to hear their perspectives on controversial outlooks both past…
Pray tell Doug do you work in a relevant field to know all these things or do you make a habit of making up bullshit that fits your agenda? Ill say the latter.
Eliminating the grifting “geoclimate” laboratories and not funding the cooperatives for colleges is a smart move whether the liberal screechers like it or not. BOTH have been proven to be rife with fraud potential and places where free money goes to die….or end up in the…
Destroying the research that makes us better at forecasting. You can't ask us to play piano if you cut off our hands.
There's a lot of bad news in the NOAA budget release, and yes there are going to be negotiations over the next few months. But what's baffling to me is the complete elimination of the OAR labs, especially NSSL. Like, no one in Oklahoma is going to stop that from happening?
Before I retired, I’ll say that SPC staff who use these models *universally* deemed this plan a terrible idea harming forecasting. FV3-based ensembling is not ready for prime time. That message was delivered above…& ignored. Jeff does a fine job of explaining the problems.
Awful idea. The RRFS can't handle low-level cold air masses nearly as well as the NAM. There are also a litany of problems running the FV3 on a convection-allowing grid, some of which are outlined here x.com/VORTEXJeff/sta…
This is like if Patrick Mahomes won an armchair quarterback throwing competition
Victory never tasted so sweet.
Thank god i didnt remove the 10 tor or yall would really be trying to clown on me right now. 😂
