Chris™
@ProbableChris
I trade $NQ using statistical and probabilistic concepts, along with custom tools I created, based on my view of the market. I own @NQStats.
Please Read👇 I've been trading since 2007. I do not run a service. I do not sell anything. I am not a member of any trading group. The goal of my content is to share concepts I have conceptualized, and data I have gathered and analyzed, and then show consistent process via…
Not digging this week with all the chopping inside the equity open range. Monday/Tuesday no trades. Wednesday net -1R. Today +2.5R.....placing me +1.5R on the week. Going to call the week here and just let this week play out. Good luck.
$NQ | 7/23/2025 Trades #1 & #2 -1R Gave the IB Low break two attempts here and its just not happening. Took a -1R and break even. Monday and Tuesday were very similar with the large AM move and then price chopping inside that range for the rest of the day. Today is setting up to…
Another huge AM move leaving no setups so far. IB is unbroken and favors new lows, additionally Noon Curve favors the same, so my bias is new lows. However currently chopping around inside the mornings range. If I cant get anything in the next hour or so, will call it a day. No…
$NQ | 7/24/2025 Trade #1 +2.5R This is an "ALN Sessions" stats based trade, with the high probability target of London lows. +2.5R secured. learn more about this stat at nqstats.com/aln-sessions
Bringing this back to the top. The data helps focus efforts on something I am creating, so please provide feedback if you want. It can be anonymous if you like.
I am looking to collect some information for a future initiative. Replies are anonymous and require no personal details, unless you want to provide your X handle, which is optional. If you provide your handle, you might be contacted at a later date. docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAI…
What a dud of a morning so far. No setups meeting criteria and dont imagine the rest of the day will be that great given this big run up. Looking for a Noon Curve new PM high trade, but that will be all I will consider for the rest of the day.
$NQ | 7/17/2025 Trade #3 Break Even This was a nice setup with Daily, H4 and H1 all hitting +0.5 distribution at the same time, however as price moved down, consolidation formed and $ES made a new hourly high. The anticipation than shifted to NQ making a new high in segment 3…
$NQ | 7/17/2025 Trade #2 +2R This trade was based on "IB Breaks" stats. Very clean retrace to 50% of the recent up leg, and nice continuation pivot right to IB high. +2R on this. Learn more about this stat at nqstats.com/ib-breaks
Pretty cool seeing others taking the same general setups. Well done!
$NQ | 7/17/2025 Trade #1 +3.25R This trade is based on "ALN Sessions" stats. Patterns 3 was given, providing a high probability of the London high getting breached. Confluence of divergence at the lows. Stop at lows, shown on chart. +3.25R on this trade. Learn more about this…
$NQ | 7/17/2025 Trade #1 +3.25R This trade is based on "ALN Sessions" stats. Patterns 3 was given, providing a high probability of the London high getting breached. Confluence of divergence at the lows. Stop at lows, shown on chart. +3.25R on this trade. Learn more about this…
$NQ | 7/16/2025 +2.75R total for the day Was in two different voice chats this morning and busy with some stuff so today will just be giving a consolidated trade recap. Trade #1: Took an ALN Session trade pre-news on the bias of NQ balancing out to take the Asia high as $ES…
I published @NQStats to provide some of the methodology I use in my trading to hopefully provide a good baseline for other to build from. The feedback has been pretty awesome. Getting DMs from people who are seeing a turning points in their trading journey, people are making…
$NQ | 7/15/2025 Trade #2 +3R "Noon Curve" trade here for a new PM low. Was discussing it live with some people on voice chat which was pretty cool. Made up for the -1R I took earlier on the IB trade. Net +3R on this trade and will call the day here at +2R.
$NQ | 7/15/2025 Trade #1 -1R Took an "IB Breaks" long after a 50% retracement of the up leg. Expectation was new high to break the IB high given the stat. Resulted in a -1R loss. On to the next one.
