Peak Financial Investing
@PeakFinInv
At Peak Financial Investing, we select financial advisors who share your views of the world and who has your best interests at heart.
If you are still investing with a financial planner that is using modern portfolio theory or another passive approach, please be cautious! This video on PFI's approach is well worth your consideration: youtube.com/watch?v=qJusZd…
Home ownership has now been completely locked out for a whole group of people. I was hoping we were going to get a reset on this, and we didn't. Instead, we're going to get more spending and a promise that we're going to offset it with more growth. We've been told this before.…
Almost all of the gain on a home sale is government-created inflation. So the government creates the inflation and then taxes us to kick back some of the inflation it created. It's completely immoral. Full report: peakprosperity.pulse.ly/cmnthxyczk
The Buffet Indicator is at its highest level ever. This comes after multiple Fed interventions since 2009, and what's happened while ""saving the system"" is they've preferentially printed up money that's helped people with access to financial markets at the expense of people who…
When Wall Street says, "I've got a good deal for you," I run. Either Wall Street wants to share in the wealth by opening up private equity to 401(k)s, or... they're wrung out every drop of juice and are ready to find other bag-holders to pass it off to. Full report:…
Equity markets are stupid-expensive. The bull case, as far as I understand, is that they won't let it fall, the Fed will print as much as necessary, and Trump will force a rate cut. These are all shenanigans as far as I'm concerned. Full report: peakprosperity.pulse.ly/emjrsptkg5
It shocked me when I read Trump is preparing an executive order to allow 401(k)s to invest in private equity. I have a bad feeling about this... Full report: peakprosperity.pulse.ly/hb3tk1uvwp
The big banks did great with all that tariff volatility. Of course, it's easier to do great if you know when the volatility is about to come. Is it wrong to think this is a rigged game? Full report: peakprosperity.pulse.ly/dwqu06vzbr
What's the point in cutting interest rates by 3% if inflation takes off at 6%? It may allow Trump to spend more money in the short term, but it becomes an equal-opportunity punisher in the long term. Full report: peakprosperity.pulse.ly/mwiqmumtcq
This anecdote on the housing market sure has a flavor of 2008 to it. If you can't sell your house for more than you paid for it, there is only one way to attract buyers: lower the price. Full report: peakprosperity.pulse.ly/ljayfxzch0
The 30-year bond yield is sending clear signals as to what it thinks of replacing Powell as Fed Chair. Full report: peakprosperity.pulse.ly/xoctcgu9ji h/t @biancoresearch
Everything is cyclical. Markets rise, beliefs form, prices inflate—yet fundamentals anchor us. From 7-year rental paybacks in the '90s to 30-35 years now, reflexivity shows how observation shapes reality. Full report: peakprosperity.pulse.ly/q5l0rryqso
Translation: "We're on the cusp of the the most intense period of mass firings and labor weakness ever." Subtext: "All my buddies on the capital side are positively giddy!"
US Treasury Secretary Bessent: We are on the cusp of productivity boom amid AI developments.
Japan is in real trouble here. They are a value-add country. Import raw materials, and export finished goods. With spiking interest rates, things are getting dicey.
⚠️Japan might be falling into a RECESSION: Japanese exports DROPPED -0.5% Y/Y in June, the 2nd straight drop. This was led by sharp declines in car (-27%) and steel (-29%) shipments. With GDP already down -0.7% in Q1 2025, Japan may have slipped into a recession.
We suspect this was especially true for the insiders who were tipped off before the market-moving news was tweeted out:

🚨The Japanese 30-year bond just blew past 3%. I never thought I'd see the day when the BOJ lost control, but it's really beginning to look like that day has arrived.
Japan was planet Earth's bond yield anchor for decades. When central bankers distort the true cost of capital over longer and longer periods of time, there's a price to pay for this charade; it's not free.
Wow. Sea change.
USD share of global FX reserves (including gold) now <50%. Gold now 2nd biggest FX reserve asset behind USD. USD + EUR share of global FX reserves was 78% in 2007; today, that is 62%. Gold now 2nd + “Other currencies” share of FX reserves was 22% in 2007; today, that is 38%.
Looks like tariffs are back on the menu!
*TRUMP SENDS LETTER TO JAPAN - 25% TARIFF *TRUMP SENDS LETTER TO KOREA - 25% TARIFF