Steven Patton
@PattonAnalytics
NFL Analytics & Graphics | Host of Purrfect Takes
A thread of sports analytics papers and projects I’ve worked on over the years 🧵
At the risk of dipping my toe into the toxic water that is this Cam Newton “ring” debate thingy, it bugs me like crazy that those trying to downplay him only focus on the NFL “winning” and conveniently leave out carrying his team to a National Championship…
Hurts record w/ AJ Brown: 42-9 w/o AJ Brown: 10-14
In reality, when his very best was required, he couldn't remotely deliver. He had great moments, not a great career.
People quickly forget how fallible Hurts is without his star teammates
Cause folks are idiots and have still stood on that since his draft. I'm done talking to you about this. You have your view and I disagree. Good day. News flash people have been wrong about players in the draft countless times. TB12 went in the 6th round.
Mike Remmers. If Cam had Lane Johnson, he’d be a SB champion.
Last thing I’ll say is that Panthers team had multiple all pros and a top 10 defense. They were 6 point favorites in the SB. He didn’t play with a team of bums despite what NFL Twitter wants people to think.
Hurts was throwing to CeeDee Lamb in a Lincoln Riley offense. Cam, with a bunch of nobodies, went undefeated playing in the SEC, amassing 4,327 yards and 50 TDs. They are not the same.
Its college but Joe literally had a Super Team at LSU and is lauded for it. Meanwhile that same year with less talent around him Jalen threw for 32 TDs and ran for 20 TDs. He threw for 3851 yards and ran for 1298 yards. 5149 yards and 52 TDs accounted for by Jalen that year.
Head coaches for these teams: Andy Reid protégé Andy Reid protégé Sean Payton Andy Reid protégé Sean Payton Andy Reid protégé Andy Reid Andy Reid Don Coryell Andy Reid
Heard @ASchatzNFL drop this stat from the @FTNFantasy Almanac on @minakimes show so I had to grab it. The two best five-years runs for a team without a Super Bowl appearance in NFL history, by DVOA The 2020-2024 Baltimore Ravens The 2020-2024 Buffalo Bills
T.J. Watt became the fourth player this offseason to sign a market setting non-QB contract Data: OverTheCap
Simplified Expected Points Model Baseline = 7.4 Points Scenario: 2nd and 8 from the Opponent's 40 Yard Line (Gain of 12 yards) 1. Subtract .07 points for every yard you are away from the opponent's end zone. Before: (40 yards away from EZ * .07 = 2.8) After: (28 yards away…
Is he even talented enough to win the AFC South?
"I believe he is talented enough to win a Super Bowl" @JoshNorris still has the utmost faith in Trevor Lawrence 🏆
$7.99 for a Cookout Tray?!?!? What happened to the game I love
Jayden Daniels is out here making every pass play a choose-your-own-adventure ✨
Seven rookies are locks or near locks for the 53 man roster
open.substack.com/pub/anthonyrei…
Both the top right and bottom left quadrants feature four former 1st overall picks. Make of that what you will.
Bryce Young reaps what he sows
josh allen
I actually think the difference of EPA/dropback when in clean pocket versus under pressure is a better way to show this. The larger the diff, the more pressure impacts the player.
Joe Brrr ❄️
And tape, something you probably dont watch a lot 😁
Sack-adjusted yards per dropback in and outside the pocket from 2023-2024