Brett Gibbs
@OilandGibbs
@BBGIntelligence Equity Research Analyst covering Renewable Fuels. All views are my own.
More reason to head to Chicago the 4th week of September! Thanks to anyone who has tuned in to our 3Q event series. We'll be wrapping it up with an in-person briefing on 9/22 with the entire Bloomberg Biofuels collective. Briefing (space is limited)🔗: bloomberg.com/event-registra……
Registration Now Open: OPIS RFS, RINs & #Biofuels Forum on September 22-24, 2025 in #Chicago! Register now: bit.ly/4jhCr1b Join industry leaders as they explore regulatory updates, market trends & compliance strategies shaping the future of #RenewableFuels. #energy
We focus mostly on biofuels here—but we also cover US independent refiners. Great to join @LisaMateoTV and @isabelletanlee this morning to break down $PSX's strong 2Q results. Lets see if diesel strength can hold into 3Q as seasonal gasoline demand is faltering a bit. 🎥…

I'd check on that. 40B is reserved to "qualified mixture" produced in the US. "For purposes of this section, the term 'qualified mixture' means a mixture of sustainable aviation fuel and kerosene if" Believe it can be foreign produced SAF, blended with US kerosene in the US.…
For those who have reached out about this. H. R. 1 changed the termination date of Section 6426(k) from 12/31/24 TO 9/30/25. Section 6426(k) is: - SAF excise tax credit - Not restricted to US producers - Qualifies for direct payment - Minimum credit of $1.25/gal if you're 50%…
SAF excise tax credit impact incoming...
Always appreciate @CarbonAcumen's views. Great discussion earlier on some 2H margin/timing scenarios that initiated off SAF excise tax-credits (if interested). We're in the final stages of our 2H outlook. Here's what @sab__RIN__a identified as the 3 things to watch. There are…
This is very plausible, and we've modeled it out, but I find the impact isn't as dire as you think... We run a "Blue Sky" scenario, assuming US BD/RD steps into full potential the next month (July). 80% BD utilization and 100% of our RD project tracker (not utilization) If that…
For reference re $PARR JV @ $4.50/gal: $PBF - $ENI (2/23) : ~$5.75/gal $MPC - $NESTE (3/22): ~$2.75/gal $CVX - $REGI (2/22): ~$5/gal Add any other relative comps to the comments... #OOTT #EFT #OOCT #OOAT #Biofuels #Renewablediesel
*In Hawaii* BUT Mitsubishi Corporation and ENEOS Corporation are paying ~$4.50 an annual gallons of capacity. $100M for 36.5% equity stake in 61Mgal/yr RD/SAF/Naphtha plant $274M equity value / 61M = $4.50 $PARR 🔗- parpacific.com/press-releases… #OOTT #EFT #OOCT #OOAT #RINs…
How you can tell most of our X contacts aren’t equity-focused… This is the first public RD/SAF comp in a while… 👀
*In Hawaii* BUT Mitsubishi Corporation and ENEOS Corporation are paying ~$4.50 an annual gallons of capacity. $100M for 36.5% equity stake in 61Mgal/yr RD/SAF/Naphtha plant $274M equity value / 61M = $4.50 $PARR 🔗- parpacific.com/press-releases… #OOTT #EFT #OOCT #OOAT #RINs…
*In Hawaii* BUT Mitsubishi Corporation and ENEOS Corporation are paying ~$4.50 an annual gallons of capacity. $100M for 36.5% equity stake in 61Mgal/yr RD/SAF/Naphtha plant $274M equity value / 61M = $4.50 $PARR 🔗- parpacific.com/press-releases… #OOTT #EFT #OOCT #OOAT #RINs…
ICYMI: Growth Energy SVP of Regulatory Affairs @ChrisBliley joined a panel of experts with @BBGIntelligence to share critical insights into the implications and direction of U.S. #biofuel policy. You can replay the panel discussion back here: bloomberg.com/professional/i…
🎥A replay of today’s session is now available! Just enter contact info to watch: 🔗 bloomberg.com/professional/i… Huge thanks to our panelists for their insights and advocacy on biofuel policy. Hope you’ve got a vacation lined up after Aug. 8! @AnthonyReed19 @devinmogler…
In case you missed it: On Friday, the IRS released the inflation-adjusted base values for the #45Z credit for 2025. The base value is now $1.86 for #SAF and $1.06 for other #biofuels. These values are then multiplied by an emissions factor to calculate the final credit value.
🚨 IRS published an Inflation Adjustment notice today that impacts the formulas used to calculate the #45U, #45V & #45Z tax credits for 2025. For 45Z in 2025, the inflation-adjusted base value for non-SAF #biofuel is $1.06, not $1. The adjusted base for #SAF is $1.86, not $1.75.
🎥A replay of today’s session is now available! Just enter contact info to watch: 🔗 bloomberg.com/professional/i… Huge thanks to our panelists for their insights and advocacy on biofuel policy. Hope you’ve got a vacation lined up after Aug. 8! @AnthonyReed19 @devinmogler…
Last chance to register for our session this morning with DC biofuel advocates. Tune in at 11am ET: bloomberg.zoom.us/webinar/regist… #OOTT #EFT #OOAT #RINs #45z @AnthonyReed19, @devinmogler, @ChrisBliley , @GrowthEnergy , @CleanFuelsAA , @CoalitionForRNG
Last chance to register for our session this morning with DC biofuel advocates. Tune in at 11am ET: bloomberg.zoom.us/webinar/regist… #OOTT #EFT #OOAT #RINs #45z @AnthonyReed19, @devinmogler, @ChrisBliley , @GrowthEnergy , @CleanFuelsAA , @CoalitionForRNG
The pace is accelerating. ⚡ 45Z clean fuel credit amendments are now law 🗣️ 2026–27 RVO hearings start tomorrow Next up in our 2H series: 🎙️ DC advocates on feedstocks, biodiesel, RNG, ethanol impacts & what EPA might do next. 📅 Fri, July 18 | 🕚 11am ET | 💻 Free & virtual…
Our latest update post June EMTS data is out!
June biomass-diesel RIN generation rose 9% from May (revised up 19%). 2025 needs incl. exports: 7.99B Annualized 6M 2025 Supply: 6.45B Domestic Capacity at full tilt starting in July: 7.66B #OOTT #OOAT #EFT #RINS
A transcript of this detailed session is now available (Linked-In): linkedin.com/posts/brett-gi… 🎤 Join us tomorrow for a conversation with DC Advocates — register here: bloomberg.zoom.us/webinar/regist… 🏙️ In Chicago? Reserve your seat for our in-person briefing on 9/22:…
A replay of today's session is now available! It will prompt you to input some contact information and then it is accessible to anyone. Thanks again to the panelists and all of you who filled out the poll. I hope you enjoy this as much as I did! 🔗bloomberg.com/professional/i…
🤝 Pleasure was all mine. Meant a lot to have your and the rest of the panelists' trust and buy-in on this. Myself and the whole industry has learned a ton from the combined work of this panel. Truly one of the most enjoyable events we've put on to date. It'd be great to do…
If you are interested in the details of current biofuels policy in the US and associated market impacts, this webinar is for you. I was honored to be part of such a distinguished panel of industry experts. A lot of good information! The video is available here:…
Here are the updated tables and links. Many thanks to @sab__RIN__a for catching quickly. 🔗blinks.bloomberg.com/news/stories/s…
Apologies, we realized the initial table was quoted in gallons or 'batch volume' rather than RINs. Will have updated tables shortly.
Apologies, we realized the initial table was quoted in gallons or 'batch volume' rather than RINs. Will have updated tables shortly.
🚨 Wondering how some folks got EMTS RIN data before the usual 3rd Thursday drop? We found the trick: RIN generation data by D-code is quietly posted early here 👉 epa.gov/system/files/o… Just tweak the URL with the right month/year. 👀 #OOTT #EFT #OOAT #RINs #45z