Andrew Moore

2025 Hurricane Season Forecast 110 ACE (~20% below active era average) 9-13 Named Storms 4-7 Hurricanes 2-3 Major Hurricanes

Tariffs are a regressive tax, paid by American consumers and eating a higher percentage of the annual budgets of the poor and middle class. This after passing the “Big Beautiful Bill” preferentially helping the rich. MAGA brilliance is undefeated in hurting itself

Chances for development with 93L have diminished, though will continue to bring heavy rain to the northern Gulf Coast, esp Louisiana. This loop shows spin in the atmosphere at around 5K / 10K / 20K ft with strong tilt evident from the NE to the SW with height - forced by NE shear

Fun little data exercise: violent tornado rating deflation is so substantial that, despite massive improvements in weather safety, the average US EF/F4 has been deadlier in the 2020s than in any decade since the 1940s(!); this is also true of EF/F5s in the 2010s.

This image looks like a strengthening TC, meanwhile actual 93L is a hot mess

Lots of strong mid July sun heating the inflow into the convective band in the SW quadrant of 93L and providing some additional CAPE