Maggie Perry

Current projections for Tasmania, and I've just called the Liberals will win 4 seats and Labor will win 2 in Braddon 🟦 Liberal / 14 🟥 Labor / 9 🟩 Greens / 5 ⬜️ Independent / 4 🟫 Shooters, Fishers, Farmers / 1 ⬜️ ??? / 2 (Likely 1 to Labor, and 1 to Liberals or SFF)

NEW: The majority of Australians support keeping preferential voting in the House of Representatives 🗳️ Compulsory preferential: 36% First-past-the-post: 27% Optional preferential: 25% Proportional representation: 12% DemosAU | 19 May-14 June | n=1713 | MoE ±3.7%

someone should explain the idea of "local representation" to Americans

feeling pretty good about this prediction rn

🟦 LIB / 13 🟥 ALP / 7 🟩 GRN / 5 ⬜️ IND / 3 ⬜️ UNCALLED / 7 Tas election results so far

TONIGHT: Tasmania Decides with LIVE election night coverage on 6 News. Watch here from 6pm AEST: youtube.com/live/vfAEtwFF5…

WATCH LIVE: Tasmanian election night coverage on 6 News ⬇️ youtube.com/watch?v=vfAEtw…

Sorry I haven't been doing any #politas content, I've been a bit busy, but I will post a prediction for tomorrow (to get inevitably proven wrong)! Bass / 🟦🟦🟦🟥🟥🟥🟩 Braddon / 🟦🟦🟦🟥🟥🟩⬜️ Clark / 🟦🟦🟥🟥🟩🟩⬜️ Franklin / 🟦🟦🟥🟥🟩⬜️⬜️ Lyons / 🟦🟦🟦🟥🟥🟩🟫 (Shooters)

Former Tasmanian premier David Bartlett – who led a Labor government with Greens ministers – tells 6 News that Labor should work with the Greens, but also believes it's "electoral poison" to do deals with the minor party WATCH: youtube.com/watch?v=Dk4WYk…

More Liberal commissioned EMRS polling reported in The Mercury today for July 6-8. #politas

EXCLUSIVE: Former Tasmanian premier David Bartlett speaks to 6 News about this month's state election, his time leading a minority government, and why Labor is now ruling out doing deals with the Greens to gain power WATCH IN FULL: youtube.com/watch?v=xQKFRi…

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Gonna do a few daily maps to visualize the 2025 election. First one, a two-party-preferred swing map for each seat (pretty simple)! In most cities the swings to Labor were generally bigger in the inner suburbs & smaller in the outer suburbs, though Melbourne is a big exception

NY Post: Andrew Cuomo won’t seek independent bid for NYC mayor. nypost.com/2025/06/25/us-…

New York Mayoral Democratic Primary (~90% counted): 🟦 Zohran Mamdani: 43.5% 🟦 Andrew Cuomo: 36.3% 🟦 Brad Lander: 11.4% 🟦 Adrienne Adams: 4.1% 🟦 Scott Stringer: 1.7% 🟦 Others: 3.0% Im calling it - we dont need a distribution of preferences to say Mamdani's won the primary

New York Mayoral Democratic Primary (~70% counted): 🟦 Zohran Mamdani: 43.8% 🟦 Andrew Cuomo: 35.7% 🟦 Brad Lander: 11.6% 🟦 Adrienne Adams: 4.1% 🟦 Scott Stringer: 1.8% 🟦 Others: 3.0% Note New York uses preferential voting - Most of this is early votes (favours Mamdani)