Huge Guilford County Believer

Texas's Senate District 19 is a Democratic district containing much of the US-Mexico border and the San Antonio area, where a majority of the district lives. In the 2010s map, it was the least blue of the 5 border districts, but it would still reliably vote for Democrats.

The UT Austin young republicans' map is probably the most plausible map that got submitted so far. Compared to the current map (right). Both use 2024 President Data.

The concept of leaving fletcher alone, but drawing out two VRA seats

Drew 10 republicans from their homes award

These two districts having nearly the same trend is crazy

New Hampshire SD 9 is a jagged district that runs from the Manchester suburbs to the Vermont border, offsetting the burbs with red turf as it goes. Trump won it by less than a point, and it serves as a clear example of the chamber’s gerrymander #ElectionTwitter

SO, I was able to successfully make a STRONGER rough draft of Arizona State Senate WAR from last year, and I present it to you here!! With a nice [🧵] HUGE thanks to @ECaliberSeven for his post on WAR for a few battleground incumbents, that formula built this model.

Hot take but I feel that Musk is only splitting from the administration due to low favorabilities that he doesn’t want tied to Trump. He will continue to fund Republicans & meddle in Dem primaries to hurt them by association, like what he’s doing to Sherril in NJ GOV.

Wait bye Tony Gonzales won his part of El Paso County. Pretty sure it was Biden+35

The 2024 Presidential Election in Arizona was a resounding victory for Republicans; President Trump won the state by 5.5% after a a 0.3% loss in 2020, his largest win of the swing states. This map depicts the margin (%) by precinct. Improvements everywhere carried him here.

GIF map of the % of State Legislative Seats held by Democrats/Republicans from 1990-2025 State House/State Senate were weighted equally (50-50), & any Independent/3rd-Party legislators were excluded from the % calculations

Muskogee County OK is home to Muskogee, and one of the few D->R county flips in the 2018 gubernatorial race. Still, Trump won it last year by 38 points, with Harris doing best amongst Black voters in Muskogee and Taft #ElectionTwitter

First elected in 2014, and then 2020 after losing in the blue wave, Mike Schofield won his West Harris seat by 18 points in 2024. While he has a much redder district, Schofield also has a district that shifted 10 pts left from 2016, rather than one that shifted right since then.