Derek Ortt
@DerekOrtt
Senior tropical meteorologist/Business Continuity Manager. University of Miami Alum. CFCP certified by DRII. BS meteorology, MS meteorology All views my own
Public service announcement: The hurricane cone is NOT the cone of uncertainty. It is NOT the cone of impact. It merely depicts the area where the storm will be based upon historical error. An ensemble probability is a better approximation of the uncertainty
Hulk Hogan dead at 71 That era of pro wrestling really did a number on the wrestlers. Hogan was one of the longest survivors of that era
Until the Caribbean nears the global mean temp, this season will feature a downright hostile deep tropics
This shows solar is the future. If this Orttasaur can see this, everyone can
In solar, like AI, the exponential is clear, yet skeptics simply cannot see it. Skeptics endlessly flex their midwittery by clinging to unimportant details, like OMG AI STILL MAKES MISTAKES SOMETIMES?! Yeah, no shit. As soon as AI *stops* making mistakes, it's over, AGI is…
Wipha passing just south of Hong Kong. Will then move into the Gulf of Tonkin. I'm most concerned about flooding in Vietnam. This will be moving rather slowly. Could easily see isolated areas having 25-30 inches of rain
yes, there is a swirl to the northeast. However, based on buoy obs, I suspect that is a vortmax and the main center is what it moving into Florida Not organized, however
GFS not close to reality with Disturbance 10 at initialization
Disturbance 10 is better defined than court jester Euro is saying it would be at this point. Looks like a weak low is forming just north of the convection.
one of the worst TDF stages in recent memory seems Visma and Soudal have already given up
closely watching the northern Gulf this week. At a minimum, expect heavy if not flooding rains across the Gulf Coast
well well tariffs helped bring a June surplus. Won't see this in July, however. Let's not forget, income taxes (Q2) are due in June. Next income tax payment is due in September, which is when we may see our next monthly surplus That said, since the tariffs are a broad based…
we need to strengthen the Addicks and Barker Reservoirs now so we don't see something far worse than Barry in the Houston area. This is a matter of national security. Hurricanes are not a science curiosity! Fund research into mitigation as national security. Even if we have to…
and with Chantal, 3 dead , 2 missing. We caught a "break" that it hit when Duke is mostly out of session and the worst remained west of Durham
OK, how deadly was Barry? Number of missing skyrocketed up to 161