Tim Bayer

Here's one of my recent projects: The #FPL form & fixture guide. Lots of credit to @petermckeever who used this technique. I wanted to a) learn how it works (so cool) b) use some of my data - FPL stuff Form = xG + xA Fixtures = 538's SPI All fixtures: tabsoft.co/2vR3M8l

Some long-awaited changes to the #FPL scoring system are here! I looked at who would've gained the most from the new Defensive Scoring! Bruno👀 It's not yet clear to me how exactly FPL calculate CBIT🤔 slight differences in numbers, e.g., tackles vs tackles won (via fbref)

pip install... #loading #fpl #stats #data

We've done it, the greatest game ever made @ELDENRING comes to an end. The story ends here where gold and shadow were born. No game will ever come close to this. Incredible. Good break from FPL. Level 1 run next?

I'm back with some #Tableau vizzes. For this season, I'm visualising player stats again for #FPL! Find any player and see how they're performing week to week in terms of xG, playing time, etc. Yes, it will update every GW and its designed for mobile: tabsoft.co/3DYpsPR

With a week to go to the launch of #FPL, I've updated my Fixture Tracker with @clubelo ratings! Principally, nothing changes except the underlying numbers (prev. 538) but this means my fixture tracker will update for every GW. Find all fixtures here: tabsoft.co/3XLpDY4

If I had known this, I don’t think I would have committed to a non Haaland challenge 😆 Thankfully 👑 Salah came through in the final weeks. Anyone out there besides @martin_minha who never owned Haaland?

Ahead of #FPL GW10 here is a refreshed look at the underlying numbers of all players with 200+ mins. It's the rise of the mid-priced picks this week. Premiums continue to struggle to justify their price tags. Though Kane & De Bruyne remain in the Top 5 actual scorers, for now.

Here is a look at the underlying xPTS data for #FPL picks so far this season. Haaland is on course for a 250 pt season while there is very little between Son, Salah, De Bruyne & Kane. A word on Zaha; the setup is great, but not many perform at 3.62 xPTS per 90 consistently.

Here's a refreshed look at the next set of #FPL fixtures starting with GW7. NEW move to the top (GW7-9) LEI to keep an eye on (GW10-13) Top 6 entering a trickier period Fixtures are ranked by 538's SPI. All fixtures here -> tabsoft.co/3AsXsDj

With GW5 now completed, I've had a look at the Top 20 #FPL picks so far (based on baseline xPTS per 90) Haaland leads the way with 6.35 xPTS per 90. Salah with 3.58 xPTS per 90. For reference Salah was around 4.4 xPTS last season. Once again, Sterling is in there. I like it.

With #FPL GW1 completed, here is a look at the next set of fixtures which I have ranked in blocks of 3 using 538's SPI. Any future Bailey - Andreas movers may find it a bit awkward as FUL/AVL fixtures are in sync but unlocks £0.5. All fixtures are here: tabsoft.co/3AsXsDj

Here are the top 20 #FPL picks from last season based on their xPTS per 90. I'm very interested to see how Sterling fits in at Chelsea. If opening fixtures for TOT, MCI or LIV had been weaker, I'd be tempted to start with him.

Here is a look at the (non-pen) Expected Goal Difference for all Premier League teams last season. It's getting pretty tight behind MCI and LIV. #TOT pushing for 3rd #ARS closing the gap to Chelsea & Spurs #CRY quietly doing well #SOU finished poorly #WOL on a slippery slope