Sam Greene
@samagreene
Professor @KingsRussia. Director of Democratic Resilience @CEPA. Political sociologist. Progressive. Opinions my own. 🇬🇧/🇺🇸
For the avoidance of doubt: The opinions and analysis I express on this platform are my own and do not reflect the positions of any particular institution. Just in case: bsky.app/profile/samagr… threads.net/@sam.greene76 tldrussia.substack.com
I stand with Ukrainians, who have shown that they will not abide tyranny, whether it comes from without or within. Zelensky made a mistake today. He will pay the price when elections come. But Ukrainians will not thank us if we use this as an excuse to abandon their defense.
*zero out 🤦♂️
While the EU is discussing plans to seek lit Russian hydrocarbon imports by the end of 2027, Russia, Hungary and Serbia are discussing plans for a new oil pipeline — to open in 2027.
The newsletter's back -- with a dive into the tortured psyches of Sergei Karaganov, Konstantin Malofeev and Russia's surprisingly anxious and fractured conservatives. tldrussia.substack.com/p/tldrussia-we…

Curious to see a list of the people who have been really surprised by Putin. Post here or DM me if you have a verified copy. 🚨IRONY ALERT🚨
JUST NOW!!! Trump told reporters he would be sending Patriots to Ukraine but wouldn’t say how many “We're going to send them Patriots, which they desperately need… Because Putin really surprised a lot of people.” 1/3
Thoughts for @marcbennetts1 and @thetimes on Trump & Putin thetimes.com/article/93d352…

Russia declares VPOTUS’s Alma mater an “undesirable organization” meduza.io/news/2025/07/0…
There is an established school of int’l relations that holds that right and wrong are irrelevant categories. Fine. But there isn’t one that holds that you can make policy by pretending the world is other than it is. There is no evidence Russia wants this war to end. None.
JD Vance criticizes “American leaders” who pick a side in the war in Ukraine: “Unfortunately, you got a lot of American leaders who like to beat their chest and say; this [Ukraine] is the good guy and this [Russia] is the bad guy.” *Russia is the bad guy
Deterrence is not back.
Another sleepless night, as Russia once again launched a massive air attack on multiple Ukrainian cities. Here in Kyiv, at least 6 people were killed in an apartment building. Explosions from ballistic missiles and drones rocked the city for hours on end, forcing many people into…
Putin: “I’ve already said that Russians and Ukrainians are one people. In that sense, all of Ukraine is ours. … We have this old rule, that wherever a Russian steps foot — that’s our territory.” Whatever this is, it’s not a president preparing his people for compromise.

In THE @GUARDIAN Re Dr. #FionaHill Signed by @oonuch @GwendolynSasse @Orysiaua @OxanaShevel @AgniaGrigas @sasha_weirdsley @jademcglynn122 @McFaul @TimothyDSnyder @KeirGiles @samagreene @edwardlucas @BohdanNahaylo @A_SHEKH0VTS0V et al. @FionaHillClub linkedin.com/pulse/open-let…
Apparently, the deterrent effect of US investment in Ukraine is limited. ft.com/content/c32079…
Important discussion on this week’s #GlobalSecurityBriefing about the prospects for the Russia-Ukraine peace talks, and what happens if they fail and the fighting continues. Thanks to @samagreene and @Andriypzag for sharing their insights.
🎙 As talks between Moscow and Kyiv continue, the latest #GlobalSecurityBriefing episode examine the shifting role of the US in the ongoing conflict. Listen now to learn more about the potential ramifications of extended dialogue on Europe's security.
🎙 As talks between Moscow and Kyiv continue, the latest #GlobalSecurityBriefing episode examine the shifting role of the US in the ongoing conflict. Listen now to learn more about the potential ramifications of extended dialogue on Europe's security.
A sobering discussion with @Andriypzag and @Eurasia21cntry for @rusi: the key ingredient for peace in Ukraine—Russian commitment—is absent. sites.libsyn.com/341255/can-rus…
Many thanks to the @YorkFestofIdeas for having me up for the day!

At a loose end this Sunday afternoon? Somewhere in shouting distance of York? Join me at the @YorkFestofIdeas! yorkfestivalofideas.com/2025/calendar/…