Ryan O'Donnell
@ryanodonnellpa
Now: Interim Executive Director @DataProgress | Polling | Dogs | etc. Before: @BarackObama | @AOC | @CynthiaNixon | @SEIU | @JamaalBowmanNY | etc. He/him
looking at some unweighted dfp data by how much attention voters pay to political news -a great deal: harris +8 -a lot: harris +5 -a moderate amount: trump +1 -a little: trump +8 -none at all: trump +15
🧵 The data you have all been waiting for! The NYC mayoral primary WITHOUT batch elimination (and some early analysis) 1) Zohran's first round (469,642) would have been enough to win against Cuomo's final round (443,229)
so i can tweet this
someone needs to tweet that zohran won jessica ramos' senate district by 20 points
someone needs to tweet that zohran won jessica ramos' senate district by 20 points
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Rep. Josh Gottheimer after attending DC meeting with Mamdani: “We don't need a job-killing socialist who wants to raise taxes and supports antisemitic rhetoric… “Democratic socialists are not Democrats.… Bernie Sanders is an independent. He's not even a Democrat.”
Rep. Josh Gottheimer after attending DC meeting with Mamdani: “We don't need a job-killing socialist who wants to raise taxes and supports antisemitic rhetoric… “Democratic socialists are not Democrats.… Bernie Sanders is an independent. He's not even a Democrat.”
hey i found who senate republicans are most scared of
Someone get @AbdulElSayed some deodorant... looks like Haley Stevens and Mallory McMorrow are making him sweat.
personally, if i missed this primary by 36 points three weeks ago, i might pause on releasing a GE poll? maybe run some checks on my methodology. find god?
HarrisX poll | 7/7-7/8 RV NYC mayoral election (four way) 🟦Zohran Mamdani 26% ⬜️Andrew Cuomo 23% 🟥Curtis Sliwa 22% ⬜️Eric Adams 13% Undecided 15%
this ratio will be studied
This ratio is reaching truly historic levels. 32x the likes.
launching a campaign 3pm in the afternoon after a poll shows you down 22 points while mispronouncing your opponent's last name. a nice reminder of how this guy lost by 12 points a couple weeks ago.
In it to win it.
A good poll for Zohran. But don’t kid yourself. The billionaires will spend endlessly to defeat him. This is an election of national significance. Either we develop a strong progressive working class movement, or we end up with Oligarchy & authoritarianism. Stand with Mamdani.
and sorry — which candidate is going to beat zohran (net fav +9)? is it sliwa (-18) or cuomo (-20) or adams (-41)?
🚨NEW DFP NYC POLL 🚨in a traditional mayoral electorate, mamdani is up 16 points over cuomo
I’m not getting distracted. New York City is on the verge of electing an anti-ICE socialist into power in one of America’s most important cities.
I’m not getting distracted. New York City is on the verge of electing an anti-ICE socialist into power in one of America’s most important cities.