Michele Caprio
@mic_caprio
Lecturer (Asst. Prof.) @csmcr. On this profile, math (Imprecise Probabilities/Stats/AI/ML), baseball (@Phillies), and football (@juventusfcen).
The scholars who call Conformal Prediction a UQ method are right: It represent uncertainty via the Conformal Prediction Region, and it also exhibits (minimal cond's) intrinsic UQ capabilities. To show this, I introduce a category-theoretic approach to CP arxiv.org/abs/2507.04441

The document that started categorical probability, part of secret work from 1962, has reappeared, together with new commentaries of its author, Bill Lawvere. lawverearchives.com/wp-content/upl… Thanks to Tobias Fritz and to the Lawvere Archives for the work.
🏹 Job alert: Research Associate or Research Fellow in Probabilistic Machine Learning 📍Manchester 🏴 📅 Apply by July 27 bit.ly/3TH28xZ
Adding joys to joys, another well-deserved award!
Honored to receive one of the IJAR Young Researcher Awards at #ISIPTA25 🥳 This award is given to students who demonstrate excellence in research at an early stage of their scientific career. @zuseschoolrelAI @AIML_LMU #ISIPTA25
Such a well-deserved honor. Congrats @Chau9991! ♥️
🙏 Honoured to receive the IJAR Young Researcher Award 2025 at #ISIPTA2025! Grateful for the recognition of our efforts to bridge the mathematical rigour of imprecise probability with ML’s computational challenges. Excited to keep pushing forward! 💪
Want to keep up to date with the latest advances on imprecise probabilities? Then check our conference next week! The program, contributions and all the information can be found at isipta25.sipta.org
Happy to share that I've been re-elected as an At-Large Member of the Executive Committee of @SIPTAtweets. Looking forward to serving and contributing to the Society to the best of my abilities!
Missed it? Now you can watch the video of the seminar by Gregory Wheeler in our youtube channel! Check our link in youtu.be/UbSBrX3Iarg
1/4 🎉 Our paper "Conformal Prediction without Nonconformity Score" has been accepted at the 41st Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI)! openreview.net/pdf?id=ENJd3vu…
🧠 Does AI have a role to play in pure mathematics—the kind still worked out on blackboards over decades? To interrogate this question, @nytimes spoke to IAS scholars from diverse disciplinary perspectives, including @patrickshafto and @alondra: nytimes.com/2025/06/19/sci…
What is duality? (Is it more than an order-reversing involution?) Duality is very interesting and also intriguing. This paper is a great read IMHO. "Duality as a category-theoretic concept" by David Corfield
Our last seminar of the season is only a few hours away! Join us this afternoon at 15:00 CET to hear from Greg Wheeler abou desirable gambles and non-linear utility. All the info at sipta.org/events/sipta-s…
📢 Leading experts from @the_IAS, @maxplanckpress, and @LeCosPA_NTU have established the Max Planck-IAS-NTU Center for Particle Physics, Cosmology, and Geometry—a collaborative research initiative aimed at better understanding the universe at all scales: ias.edu/news/new-globa…
Would you like to know more about the logic behind sets of desirable gambles? Then join us for the last SIPTA seminar of the season on Thursday, June 19 at 15:00 CET. All the info soon in sipta.org/events/sipta-s…
Can we represent distributions in an RKHS beyond the kernel mean? Yes—our ICML2025 paper introduces kernel quantile embeddings and discrepancies with weaker injectivity conditions than standard kernel means and MMD, offering a competitive alternative. 🚨 arxiv.org/abs/2505.20433