Lucas Downey
@lukedowney
Data, evidence, markets, outliers, opinions my own, no financial advice
PSA: Don't neglect contributing up to $7,000 in your IRA / ROTH IRA at the turn of the year. Step 1: Invest $7k into the S&P 500 $SPY $VOO Step 2: Invest $583.33 monthly into S&P 500 Step 3: Repeat step 2 for 30 years Result = You'll be a millionaire

SIGNAL STUDY: Fed Cut Returns Incoming. Let's look past the seasonal weakness of August and September for a moment. One of the biggest drivers of asset prices is interest rates. As the Fed is set to cut interest rates as early as September, this is a big deal. Back to 1991,…
No one discusses Costco $COST anymore Must be because shares are roughly flat in 2025

Chipotle $CMG shares are down 14% since Brian Niccol left the company

The #rally is far reaching. #SmallCaps & #MidCaps are surging. The coming #Fed #ratecuts are a big reason to keep betting on these groups. Today's signal study explains why these new leaders will keep working into 2026. 💫READ⬇️(Link in the Comments) #SmallCap #InterestRates
Thanks @SchwabNetwork for having @LukeDowney on to discuss #stocks to buy on a dip $META, $TSM, $LRCX Key #AIstocks with @NPetallides Highlighting last week, we noticed #inflows into #homebuilders - $DHI & $PHM see monster numbers today 📺WATCH⬇️ youtu.be/spNQ1ydQCFI?si…
What if housing is turning a corner? D.R. Horton $DHI on the move after earnings print. Raising share buybacks

TRADE IDEA: This one is different based on @lukedowney's signal study. Elevance Health $ELV has been battered along with other health insurers. The stock is down 26.3% in a month. That's caused the forward yield to spike to close to 2.5%. That's a wickedly high yield for…
$TLN
TRADE IDEA:🚀 $TLN is a #Nuclear #Stock ready to soar 124.6% in next 12 months! $TLN (Talen Energy) is HOT! Up 42.7% in 2 months #AI deals + $AMZN's 1,920 MW pact = nuclear boom! Why $TLN? $1.8B revenue (2024), RSI >80 (124.6% avg gain in 12mo), 18.3% gain post-rally. Quantum…
SIGNAL STUDY: On 7/3/2025 Trade Desk $TTD rose for 5 days consecutively. Back to 2016, @lukedowney was able to find 47 prior instances with 5 daily gains in a row. 1 and 2 months after this anomaly, shares gain 9.2% and 16.4% respectively. Given the company surprised to the…
$SRAD $AEM
We are witnessing a breath-taking #rally. This environment is great for picking #outlier #stocks. We showcase 2 all-stars under heavy accumulation. 💫READ⬇️ moneyflows.com/blog/top-2-out… @LukeDowney #RIA #MoneyFlows #OutlierStocks $NDAQ #SP500 $AEM $SRAD $SMCI $NVDA #StockMarket #Q3
For where your treasure is, there your heart will be also. Matthew 6:21
Trump savings accounts are now here Babies born will get $1000 invested in stocks Here’s what you need to know #trumpaccount #savings
JUST IN: Trump announces a proposal of a new Trump Savings Account This government-funded investment account will track the stock market for babies born in years 2025 - 2028 Here's what you need to know #Trumpsavingsaccount #BigBeautifulBill 1/
The ultimate bear killer signal flashed in April. When the VIX collapses, buy stocks. April showers bring May flowers $spy $spx $VIX tradesmith.com/the-bear-kille…


Sometimes you gotta look backwards to see the future
@lukedowney Luke just shared ... "Here’s a new signal study hot off the press. I looked back at the S&P 500’s forward returns following the biggest up days over the last 45 years, and the average gains were 37% after one year and 55% after two years… with a 100% hit rate in…
Camtek $CAMT rarely mentioned on X. Up 35% since this post
Jason Bodner (@mapsignals) just released some more data. He started off by saying: Yes, now really is a good time to buy stocks. Not just any stock, of course. Most don’t have what it takes to generate the high probability of profits I look for. But those that do are juicy…
Follow the Big Money!
These 3 stocks below are market kings. The simplest way to predict market moves is tracking institutional money flows (@MoneyFlows_com), which drive 70-90% of daily stock volume. @JasonBodnerReal's TradeSmith Quantum Edge system, built from Wall Street experience, unlocks this…
The NASDAQ golden cross historical study is powerful When the tide is rushing into stocks, the leaders rip the most $avgo $qqq
The Nasdaq's recent weekly golden cross, a #bullish signal not seen since 2009, points to a strong market uptrend, and one #AI giant stands out as a prime investment opportunity: $AVGO. Broadcom, a leader in #semiconductor solutions and AI #infrastructure #software, has…