Mike Beuoy
@inpredict
actuary | creator of http://inpredictable.com | co-creator of http://evollve.net | you can also find me at bsky under the same handle
I'm so excited for this launch, and incredibly proud of the work @cwetzel31 and @basketballvalue have put into this. I'm really looking forward to how we can contribute to the sport of volleyball.
We are thrilled to announce the launch of Evollve! Our goal at Evollve is to provide the volleyball community with consistent, reliable, and easily accessible data and analysis. Check it out at evollve.net!
Come work with me! The Dodgers Quantitative Analysis team is hiring a full-time Quantitative Analyst! This role is central to the organization’s decision making. You’ll be responsible for developing and deploying models that make us better. See final post in thread for app link.
Excited for 1st #NBAFinals Game 7 in 9 yrs! 2nd-longest span b/w Finals Game 7s in @NBA history (11 yrs from 1994 to 2005). Last 4 have been competitive, albeit more "rock fights" than beautiful basketball. Hoping for a great one! (Big 👏 to @inpredict for all win prob graphs!)
I cannot stress this enough: pairing a 4% funding line with the largest cut in NCI history will devastate the future of cancer research - and patients. We would be turning our backs on decades of progress.
While I don't doubt that wages have failed to keep up with housing prices, this is a good example of how you can mislead with a chart. On my chart below, annual wages stay a consistent 10% of housing prices, despite the apparent divergence.
How is this even possible?
Katie Schumacher-Cawley wins the 2025 Jimmy V Perseverance Award ❤️ A powerful story and even more powerful speech 👏
just try to make stuff that moves you that’s really all that matters you can’t worry about the outside response you gotta just focus on how you feel about the thing you’re making if you think it’s good and cool then it’s a success
Should’ve called it “I Think You Should Heave”
New #WNBA Composite Power Ratings! I've added Basketball Reference's Simple Rating System (SRS) this week! Sources @espn: BPI @inpredict: Inpredictable @presidual: Positive Residual @bball_ref: SRS
Pace and efficiency trends in the WNBA through the 1st 82 games. Pace is measured in seconds per possession, so faster pace shows up lower on the y axis.


Since 1997, there have been 8 NBA playoff series that went to Game 7 where the lower seed won the 1st, 3rd, and 6th game. The lower seed went on to win in 3 of those 8 series.

If you’re wondering who to root for in game 7: Pacers VP of analytics Spencer Anderson is an ardent Big Data Bowl supporter, and Manager of Coaching Analytics Lauren James is a former Big Data Bowl mentee/honorable mention participant #BigDataBowl
Pacers with a 1.45 points per possession off of defensive rebounds.

It's crazy that possibly the best Simpsons episode was from season 3.

Leaders in distance traveled *while diving on the floor* during the Finals.
Caruso swimming on hardwood to recover a loose ball is peak Caruso
Knowing what we know now, and assuming the Dodgers make the postseason, what is the probability that Shohei Ohtani is in the starting rotation for the post season and at close to full strength?
Lost a few sources from last year (so shout if you know of others), but bringing back the #WNBA Composite Power Ratings for now! Sources @espn: BPI @inpredict: Inpredictable @presidual: Positive Residual
The "Championship Shot" of the last 10 NBA Finals. Win probability data from @inpredict . Team had to be tied or ahead in the series (so no Steph G4 '22). KDs 2017 G3 is so underrated. Cavs are up 4 with 1:24 left to go up 2-1 (88% WP), KD goes on a personal 7-0 run to steal it.
Based on my WNBA betting market rankings from a week ago, it would have projected a Clark-less Fever to be a 7.5 pt underdog at home against the Liberty. They're 3.5 pt underdogs today, so implied point spread value of CC is about 4 points?