G Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorris
independent data-driven journalist. author of the book & Substack STRENGTH IN NUMBERS: http://gelliottmorris.com. formerly 538, @theeconomist. proud community gardener
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uh this is a pretty big narrative violation? 83% of Americans support giving medicine to developing nations 78% support giving them food and clothing 63% support economic development 61% support strengthening democracy close enough, welcome back liberal internationalism
very obvious now that the prevailing public opinion during the 2026 midterms, and 2028 presidential race, will be very different from public opinion circa March of 2025. what matters is what people will think in the future, not what they thought yesterday gelliottmorris.com/p/how-much-sho…
per a new CBS News poll, public opinion on immigration has flipped. people now mostly think that trump’s deportation agenda is going too far
The White House is responding to public opinion on Epstein gelliottmorris.com/p/trumps-appro…
the price of coffee is also at an all-time high, up 33% since Trump was elected
Great piece from John. I've got some data on this coming out tomorrow morning. The biggest problem for Musk is that when he's associated with a third party, support for that party drops off a cliff
I’ve compared Ross Perot and Elon Musk, but I’m a little skeptical Musk will be able to copy Perot’s “successes”. Me for politico: politico.com/news/magazine/…
New polls show Americans don't want mass deportations. gelliottmorris.com/p/americans-do…
This week's political data roundup: Americans don't want mass deportations. Plus: Epstein and Trump, NPR, and the missing 2020 Biden voters. For the first time in his second term, Trump has a lower approval rating on deportations than on the economy. gelliottmorris.com/p/americans-do…
To fall in line with the expectations of the cube root "rule" for legislature size, you'd expect the House to have ~700 seats. That and multimember districts could be a way to potentially get a few more Dems from redder places and Reps from bluer places. fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-t…
with gerrymandering and the house capped at 435, we don't really have communities represented in congress. if the house were, say, 800 seats you have an "arab" seat in michigan, more republicans from new york city, a dem seat in utah, it would be more small-d democratic
this will be a mamdani ad by monday
Andrew Cuomo in the Hamptons: “We either win or even I will move to Florida. God forbid!” nypost.com/2025/07/19/us-…
