Football Meets Data
@fmeetsdata
Platform for applied football statistics | Probabilities, permutations & simulations | UEFA coefficients, rankings | ๐ง [emailย protected] | Support ๐
๐จ NEW! ๐ฅ ๐ข Excited to announce that our ๐ FMD Simulator now includes World Cup qualifiers! ๐๐๐ Confederations included: โช๏ธ Asia (AFC) โช๏ธ Africa (CAF) โช๏ธ Europe (UEFA) โช๏ธ North America (CONCACAF) โช๏ธ South America (CONMEBOL) ๐ Become our member (in bio) to access the ๐โฆ
Projected number of teams in ๐ UEL league stage (as of 27 July 2025): 3โฃ ๐ซ๐ท ๐จ๐ญ 2โฃ ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ ๐ช๐ธ ๐ฎ๐น ๐ฉ๐ช ๐ณ๐ฑ ๐ต๐น ๐ง๐ช ๐ต๐ฑ ๐บ๐ฆ 1โฃ ๐น๐ท ๐จ๐ฟ ๐ฌ๐ท ๐ฆ๐น ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ ๐ฉ๐ฐ ๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐ญ๐ท ๐ญ๐บ ๐ท๐ด ๐ธ๐ฐ ๐ฆ๐ฟ ๐จ Full projections available for our members (in bio)
๐ 10 teams with highest probability to end up in the league stage of ๐ต UEFA Champions League (as of 27 July): 71% ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Celtic 65% ๐ณ๐ด Bodรธ/Glimt 47% ๐ฆ๐น Sturm 47% ๐ง๐ช Club Brugge 44% ๐จ๐ญ Basel 41% ๐ต๐น Benfica 41% ๐ฉ๐ฐ FCK 36% ๐ท๐ธ Crvena zvezda 30% ๐ณ๐ฑ Feyenoord 24% ๐ญ๐บ Ferencvaros *notโฆ
๐ 10 teams with highest probability to end up in the league stage of ๐ UEFA Europa League (as of 27 July): 88% ๐ฆ๐น Salzburg 82% ๐น๐ท Fenerbahรงe 77% ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Rangers 76% ๐ซ๐ท Nice 70% ๐จ๐ญ Servette 70% ๐ณ๐ฑ Feyenoord 67% ๐ง๐ช Genk 65% ๐จ๐ญ Young Boys 63% ๐บ๐ฆ Dynamo Kyiv 62% ๐ฆ๐ฟ Qarabag *notโฆ
Projected number of teams in ๐ข UECL league stage (as of 27 July): 2โฃ ๐ณ๐ฑ ๐จ๐ฟ ๐น๐ท ๐ฌ๐ท ๐ต๐ฑ ๐จ๐พ 1โฃ ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ ๐ช๐ธ ๐ฎ๐น ๐ฉ๐ช ๐ซ๐ท ๐ง๐ช ๐ณ๐ด ๐ฆ๐น ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ ๐ฉ๐ฐ ๐ธ๐ช ๐ญ๐ท ๐ท๐ด ๐ธ๐ฎ ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ฑ๐น ๐ฑ๐ป ๐ง๐ฆ ๐ซ๐ฎ ๐ฝ๐ฐ ๐ฎ๐ธ ๐ฐ๐ฟ ๐ฆ๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ช ๐จ Full projections available for our members (in bio)
๐ 10 teams with highest probability to end up in the league stage of ๐ข UEFA Conference League (as of 27 July): 91% ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Crystal Palace 87% ๐ฎ๐น Fiorentina 83% ๐ซ๐ท Strasbourg 82% ๐ฉ๐ช Mainz 79% ๐ช๐ธ Rayo Vallecano 73% ๐ฆ๐ฒ Noah 71% ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Aberdeen 71% ๐ง๐ฆ Zrinjski 69% ๐ฑ๐ป RFS 68% ๐ฐ๐ฟ Kairatโฆ
๐ Projected matchups in ๐ข UECL Q3. ๐จ Full projections and % for all teams in ๐ต UCL ๐ UEL ๐ข UECL available on our page (in bio)
๐ Projected matchups in ๐ UEL Q3 main path. โ Winners in this round will have GUARANTEED a place at least in ๐ข UECL league stageโ๏ธ ๐จ Full projections and % for all teams in ๐ต UCL ๐ UEL ๐ข UECL available on our page (in bio)
๐๏ธ Top 15 attendances in all ๐ต UCL ๐ UEL ๐ข UECL matches played this season: ๐ต 49,548 ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Rangers - ๐ฌ๐ท Panathinaikos ๐ 31,739 ๐น๐ท Beลiktaล - ๐บ๐ฆ Shakhtar ๐ต 24,859 ๐ต๐ฑ Lech Poznan - ๐ฎ๐ธ Breidablik ๐ข 23,524 ๐ฐ๐ฟ Astana - ๐ฒ๐ฉ Zimbru ๐ 23,253 ๐ท๐ธ Partizan - ๐จ๐พ AEK Larnaca ๐ต 22,800 ๐ฐ๐ฟโฆ
๐ Number of wins this European season (as of 26 July): 6โฃ ๐ง๐พ 5โฃ ๐ต๐ฑ๐ฎ๐ช๐ธ๐ช๐ฆ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ฉ 4โฃ ๐ฑ๐ป๐ง๐ฆ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐น๐ช๐ช 3โฃ ๐ฆ๐น๐จ๐พ๐ฆ๐ฟ๐ท๐ธ๐บ๐ฆ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ด๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ช 2โฃ ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ณ๐ด๐ท๐ด๐ญ๐บ๐ธ๐ฐ๐ฑ๐น๐ฐ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ฒ๐ช 1โฃ ๐ง๐ช๐ญ๐ท๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฑ๐น๐ท๐ง๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐จ๐ญโ๏ธ๐ฌ๐ท๐ธ๐ฒ๐ฑ๐บ 0โฃ ๐ต๐น๐จ๐ฟ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟ๐ฑ๐ฎ
[Projected ๐ UEL league stage] ๐จ UPDATE AFTER MATCHES ON 24 JULY โ IN: โช๏ธ ๐ต๐ฑ Legia Warszawa โ OUT: โช๏ธ ๐ง๐ฌ Ludogorets Razgrad ๐ Changes in pots: โช๏ธ ๐ ๐ต๐ฑ Legia enters Pot 3 ๐ Full projections and % for all teams in ๐ต UCL ๐ UEL ๐ข UECL available on our page (in bio)
[Projected ๐ข UECL league stage] ๐จ UPDATE AFTER MATCHES ON 24 JULY โ IN: โช๏ธ ๐ง๐ฌ Ludogorets Razgrad โช๏ธ ๐ง๐ช Charleroi โช๏ธ ๐จ๐พ Omonoia โ OUT: โช๏ธ ๐ต๐ฑ Legia Warszawa โช๏ธ ๐จ๐ฟ Banik Ostrava โช๏ธ ๐ฒ๐ฐ Shkendija ๐ Changes in pots: โช๏ธ ๐ป ๐น๐ท Besiktas drops to Pot 3 โช๏ธ ๐ป ๐ฑ๐น ลฝalgiris drops toโฆ
๐ UEL Q2 first leg attendances (24 July): 31,739 ๐น๐ท Beลiktaล - ๐บ๐ฆ Shakhtar 16,040 ๐ง๐ฌ Levski - ๐ต๐น Braga 15,047 ๐จ๐ฟ Banik - ๐ต๐ฑ Legia 12,291 ๐ง๐ช Anderlecht - ๐ธ๐ช Hรคcken 8,863 ๐ฉ๐ฐ Midtjylland - ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Hibernian 3,145 ๐ธ๐ฎ Celje - ๐จ๐พ AEK Larnaca 2,674 ๐ฒ๐ฉ Sheriff - ๐ณ๐ฑ Utrecht 941 ๐จ๐ญ Lugano -โฆ
๐ Highest % of coefficient pts earned in matches played so far (as of 25 July): 100% ๐ฆ๐น Austria (3-0-0) 92% ๐ต๐ฑ Poland (5-1-0) 83% ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Scotland (2-1-0) 79% ๐ฎ๐ช Ireland (5-1-1) 75% ๐ธ๐ช Sweden (5-2-1) 75% ๐ง๐ช Belgium (1-1-0) 67% ๐จ๐พ Cyprus (3-2-1) 67% ๐ฆ๐ฟ Azerbaijan (3-2-1) 67% ๐ญ๐ทโฆ
๐ Coefficient points added this week: +0.875 ๐ต๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ฟ +0.750 ๐จ๐พ๐ฆ๐ฑ +0.625 ๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ช๐ท๐ธ๐ซ๐ฎ +0.600 ๐ฆ๐น +0.500 ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ญ๐ท๐ญ๐บ๐ธ๐ฐ๐บ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ชโ๏ธ๐ฒ๐ฐ +0.400 ๐ณ๐ด +0.375 ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ง๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ฟ๐ง๐พ +0.333 ๐ฆ๐ฉ +0.300 ๐ง๐ช๐จ๐ญ +0.250 ๐ท๐ด๐ฎ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ฑ๐ป๐ง๐ฆ๐ซ๐ด๐ช๐ช๐ฑ๐น๐ฑ๐บ +0.200 ๐น๐ท๐ฌ๐ท +0.167 ๐ฒ๐ช +0.166 ๐ณ๐ฑ +0.100 ๐ต๐น๐จ๐ฟ 0 = ๐ฒ๐น๐ฑ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ช๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟ๐ฌ๐ฎ
๐ Lowest % of coefficient pts earned in matches played so far (as of 25 July): ... 35% ๐ฒ๐ฉ Moldova (2-3-5) 35% ๐ฌ๐ช Georgia (3-1-6) 33% ๐ฒ๐ช Montenegro (2-2-5) 33% ๐ฌ๐ท Greece (1-0-2) 25% ๐ธ๐ฒ San Marino (1-1-4) 25% ๐ต๐น Portugal (0-1-1) 17% ๐จ๐ฟ Czechia (0-1-2) 14% ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟ Wales (0-2-5) 13% ๐ฑ๐บโฆ
Highest ๐ข UECL Q2 first leg attendances (22-24 July): 23,524 ๐ฐ๐ฟ Astana - ๐ฒ๐ฉ Zimbru 21,123 ๐ฌ๐ท AEK Athens - ๐ฎ๐ฑ Hapoel BS 20,897 ๐ง๐ฆ Sarajevo - ๐ท๐ด Univ Craiova 20,855 ๐ธ๐ช Hammarby - ๐ง๐ช Charleroi 12,100 ๐ฐ๐ฟ Aktobe - ๐จ๐ฟ Sparta 11,822 ๐ณ๐ด Rosenborg - ๐ฑ๐น Banga 11,370 ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Dundee Utd - ๐ฑ๐บโฆ