E R
@erosSCS
Geopolitical Analyst. Private Sector. Asia-focused.
My post-mortem: Kamala Harris Did Not Try to Win the 2024 Election ethanr.substack.com/p/kamala-harri…
Either Americans are going to be paid $50/hr to screw together iPhones (lol), or they will not be able to afford $6000 iPhones and they lost their jobs. The spin from the usual suspects is totally irrelevant, you can't spin this away.
.@kenklippenstein It is genuinely insane that Dem leadership is treating Epstein as a "broken promises" story instead of a "they are protecting pedos" story. I simply cannot get over how bad they are at this.
And what Republicans are doing instead of working on the government funding deadline coming up quickly? Senate Republicans are trying to rush through Trump’s henchman Emil Bove. And House Republicans are trying to slink out of town to cover up the Epstein files they’ve promised…
Just like in 2024, the Democratic Party as a whole is simply not focused on winning elections.
🚨 Of the top 16 fundraisers in the House, 100% of GOP money is going to competitive races But 91% of Democratic money is going to safe seats Dem Donors: funding viral videos & list buys GOP Donors: funding battleground seats
.@kenklippenstein is completely right on Schumer my goodness x.com/search?q=from%…

It's good for democracy that someone ran on doing stupid things, then did stupid things, and now the people who voted for him are getting burned (sadly so are the rest of us). US politics has become immaterial and focused on culture war nonsense. 2028 will be tariffs and bonds.
What scares me about this moment compared to 2007-8 is the breadth of unsecured consumer debt out there. People who want to live above their means have so many options to kick the can that they didn't have in 2007, and I fear that the contagion is going to reflect that.
Perhaps you should admit you were wrong to support him?
If you want to encapsulate Donald Trump’s economic vision, a 10% baseline tariff puts the United States in the territory of an African third-world nation. Every single developed nation on planet earth has a baseline tariff of less than 10%, and most of those nations, contrary to…
If I was Xi I would be strongly considering invading or blockading Taiwan literally right now. Dare Japan/South Korea/Australia to help out the US after this, they won't and we can't defend Taiwan without their assistance.
"Trump/Vance smashed a recovering economy apart with tariffs and wild cuts to your services, then tried to make you blame black and gay people" <---- this is the message.
Lol Kamala failed to clear the field of even her own cabinet secretaries.
Former HHS secretary Xavier Becerra is running for California governor:
So now that the Democrats are the minority party, suddenly the filibuster has stopped being a tool of white supremacy? Democrats really need to stop being so myopic. Look at what they did to @kyrstensinema, they were willing to lose a Senate seat in Arizona over this.
Too many young Dem digital staffers have been led to believe that stuff like tweeting Taylor Swift lyrics from their boss’ account is a mark of success. Having fun online is fine but it still has to feel real… and be grounded in a larger strategy that hammers the GOP everyday.
New from me: I talked to a dozen Democratic digital veterans who had a lot to say about the party's message struggles online. The common theme: no one really agrees what's working.