Jake Dibden
@dibden_jake
Research Fellow at More in Common and MSc Political Sociology candidate. Oxford '21-'24, LSE '24-'25.
Fragmentation makes it harder than ever to predict outcomes of the next GE. 'Uncertainty' meaning a tight election between the Tories and Labour (à la 2015) is a thing of the past, with many Britons (35 per cent) unable to even hazard a guess at the most likely outcome.
NEW: Jeremy Corbyn has a new party, the Greens are on the rise, and Nigel Farage's Reform UK are storming ahead in the polls. Is the era of stable government over? And will Britain be ungovernable? Pollster @LukeTryl on Britain's fragmented politics: thesun.co.uk/news/politics/…
Just a thought with no empirical evidence to support it (yet) - but could votes at 16 make campaigns matter more? We've seen how responsive younger people can be to social media campaigns, and crystallising moments. Farage and TikTok in particular comes to mind.