Signal Trader
@datruthbomb
Not financial or trading advice. Philippians 4:13 Newsletter & Discord: https://signaltrader.substack.com
The sequence continues! My thoughts and price targets are outlined here.
54?! My goodness Adam! 💪
Many thanks for all the kind birthday wishes, everyone Here’s me banging out 54 chins + 1 to grow on (not all at once!), to celebrate the milestone Now off to date night with Mrs T…
Thank you guys. I will remain 100% locked in to honor your trust in me.
The market is still setting up for the next two stages of the sequence. Our Time & Price targets are almost met. Next: 1) Pullback 2) Blow-off Top Yes the market is over valued. But the top is much higher. Once the market is at absurd levels, the crash will come.
The market continues to follow our Time & Price plan this week. Once completed, a Weekly Sell Signal will trigger. There has not been a Weekly Sell Signal since the last one completed April 7th.
Over valuation alone is not a predictor of a crash. M2 growth is also not a predictor. M2 Prior to Crashes: 1929: M2 was growing 3–5% 2000: M2 was growing 6–8% 2008: M2 was growing 5–7%
Coming out with a major research piece next week. Will cover every data point, valuation method and signal available. This piece will evaluate what the final Time & Price could be in The End Game prior to a Crash. I will hold no punches. HINT: We are definitely not there yet.…
The sequence continues! My thoughts and price targets are outlined here.
Valuations made no sense in January 2000 at $NDX 3,800. Yet the market rallied another 25% to 4,800 by March 2000. Only then did $NDX crash 80% over two years. On a long enough timeframe the mkt cycles from overvalued to undervalued.
The market is still setting up for the next two stages of the sequence. Our Time & Price targets are almost met. Next: 1) Pullback 2) Blow-off Top Yes the market is over valued. But the top is much higher. Once the market is at absurd levels, the crash will come.
If the S&P can stay above the 20-DMA through next Friday, it will be the longest stretch since 1965.
The latest Stack includes Time & Price for: 1) Current rally 2) Upcoming pullback 3) End Game rally shorturl.at/Ul1ST
My $VIX Signal hits oversold Tuesday.
$VIX update: 1) 80D cycle low is due next few days and we should see a spike 1st week of Aug. Composite cycle projection from Aug 2024 + seasonality (middle panel) both suggest a spike is ahead:
Yes, the market can and will go higher. I will provide the hard evidence explaining exactly why this is tightening the rubber band further and further.
Coming out with a major research piece next week. Will cover every data point, valuation method and signal available. This piece will evaluate what the final Time & Price could be in The End Game prior to a Crash. I will hold no punches. HINT: We are definitely not there yet.…
We still have the same Time & Price target for next week. Mkt slowly working it's way to our target. I expect it to get there between Wed-Fri.
Rising $VIX regime starts in a week. Included the framework we are expecting in last two stacks. Continue to be a bull per the stack Time & Price targets. But first, hit our tgt highs next week. Then pullback to our target lows in September. Then another big rally.