Nick Byrd, Ph.D.
@byrd_nick
Studying decisions and well-being at @GeisingerRsrch. 🎓 gScholar: http://shorturl.at/uBDPW 👨💻 http://ByrdNick.com/blog 🎙️ http://ByrdNick.com/pod ▶️ http://youtube.com/@ByrdNick
Have we met? I study how we (can) think (better, both as individuals and as groups). - “Bounded Reflectivism & Epistemic Identity" researchgate.net/publication/35… - "Tell Us What You Really Think" researchgate.net/publication/34… - “Great Minds Do Not Think Alike" researchgate.net/publication/35… You?
Today I #livestream new #education research about the alleged benefits of #teaching students #argumentMapping. 10:40 EST / 15:40 CET People I know can message me for the #Zoom URL. Credit to the London #Reasoning Workshop for accessible conferencing! 📊x.com/byrd_nick/stat…
Does #argumentMapping improve #criticalThinking or #argumentation? This morning I shared results from not-yet-published waitlist control trials. TLDR; I found no benefit of #argumentMap training at either group or individual level (N > 80). #logic #edu #cogSci #teaching #xPhi
Mistaking meaningless claims like "Good #health lends subtle creativity to reality” for profound ideas is known as #bullshit receptivity. Susceptibility to such #BS was increased a bit by forcing people to quickly accept their initial impulse. doi.org/10.1080/204459… #cogSci




How can #stats communication impact high-stakes judgments? 1. Intelligence analysts often failed to assign their agency's recommended words such as "likely" or "remote chance" to numeric #probability. 2. #Visualization of the probabilities didn't help? doi.org/10.1080/026845…



