yung macro 年轻的宏观
@apralky
macro trader & zeitgeist hacker. not financial advice. opinions my own
techno-determinism has been vindicated now what? thread

the overton window doesn’t move randomly. it follows a blueprint. the blueprint is the hegelian dialectic. the zeitgeist moves in spirals, not horizontally. what was once extreme becomes normal, and what was normal becomes outdated. it revolves around a circle. people who…
reading Thiel as a teenager: "wait why does this guy keep modeling everything as downstream of intergenerational dynamics? doesn't seem very predictive. maybe the oldhead is washed" reading Thiel now: "oh ok.. I've been humbled"
refusal to extrapolate politically incorrect macrocultural trends is a symptom of cogsec poisoning and is increasingly detrimental downstream, as is usual with epistemic fractures example: many think that AOC has a nonzero shot at becoming the US president in 2028
normies who think cultural engineering & zeitgeist hacking = fun ego-stroke sideproject are pretty funny guys! if som1 has even a modicum of advantage over the consensus in forecasting macrocultural trends, their present value is literally infinity, money is solved
my favorite kind of anti-utilitarian critique is turbonormies trying to explain to the utilitarian why he simply shouldn't maximize the utility function. like not deferring to emergent second order problematics or anything of the sort, just bruteforcing a semantic contradiction
in the monarchic era, cultural influence revolved around royalty. If you wanted part, you aligned with the kings. to control the zeitgeist you either had to be royalty, or the gray cardinal pulling the strings. but the internet dramatically decentralized the narrative. memes,…
every year the bar for AGI is set higher and higher. It started with chess, people thought it would be impossible for a machine to beat a human at chess. after all, it was a human game. then it was writing. no way AI would be able to convince people that it is a human.…