Anton Leicht
@anton_d_leicht
Frontier AI Policy & Politics | @kira_center_ai
New Post: Datacenter Delusions Among middle powers, the UAE has the clearest AI strategy: become an 'AI oil state' with meaningful global compute share. Most other countries are building datacenters without targeting viable sovereignty thresholds. 馃У

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i think it's really good that METR published this. lots of incentives were/are pointing the other way. also I wonder: if there's downlift in a domain like SWE, how substantial might effective downlift in fuzzier domains be? and how unreliable must self-reports be there?
We ran a randomized controlled trial to see how much AI coding tools speed up experienced open-source developers. The results surprised us: Developers thought they were 20% faster with AI tools, but they were actually 19% slower when they had access to AI than when they didn't.