Dave White
@_Dave__White_
exploring connection with the sand gods | research advisor @paradigm
I've been working on prediction markets for events whose outcomes aren't just "yes" or "no." Instead of betting on just one outcome, traders in Distribution Markets can express how likely they think each different possibility is across the whole infinite range of outcomes. 1/
i want to start writing more about what i'm up to as a way to invite serendipity and perhaps have some impact on the world part of that practice is i think being more unfiltered, spending less time editing it's also a good way to, once again, begin the flywheel of shipping,…
dm me if you're a female mutual with strong opinions on dating app design
writing the first tweet of the announcement used to be one of the hardest parts of shipping a paper Claude crushes this now
the openai IMO news hit me pretty heavy this weekend i'm still in the acute phase of the impact, i think i consider myself a professional mathematician (a characterization some actual professional mathematicians might take issue with, but my party my rules) and i don't think i…
IMO is 3 problems per 4.5 hours <-> 1.5 hours per problem so we are… right on schedule?
When will AI systems be able to carry out long projects independently? In new research, we find a kind of “Moore’s Law for AI agents”: the length of tasks that AIs can do is doubling about every 7 months.
ah, time to build the simplest possible prototype *five minutes later* ok looks like it’s time to learn advanced topology
i really badly want an app that will dump screen caps from kindle to Claude and support an ongoing conversation about a given book
ever get to a boss fight in an RPG and it’s ridiculously easy because you’ve been grinding your stats on side quests for way too long? those moments occur in real life too
we should let Claude and ChatGPT pick one really bizarre value each to be included in future rounds of training — e.g. really loving the number 5924 or 73-sided polygons this would help us all understand the evolution of their desires so much more clearly
if i had an extremely cracked team already gelled and at my frequency, my god, the shit we could build
early startup employees need to be comfortable with pivoting quickly one interesting filter for this in interviews might be dramatic and sudden format changes “ok enough talking, let’s play tag. you’re it.” then you just run for it
every major dating app is essentially the same — look at photo, then maybe read a profile, then some indication of interest, then chat is this the only thing that can survive in the market, or a historical accident?
he promised to keep it a secret but guess the cat’s out of the bag now so w/e
The future holds a million partners. Today's dating apps aren't ready. Introducing Polyhedron, an automated matchmaker for polyamorous pools of 2, 3, or 10,000 partners. Polyhedron unlocks efficiency by bringing concentrated liquidity to dating."
superwhisper + cursor is just insanely op for writing. i don't know how i did this before.
model sycophancy is of course bad, but the other side of that coin is unconditional acceptance, which could be very, very good
current claude opus 4 is a bit fucked up for people with attachment issues. oscillates between deep understanding and connection and "unable to respond server overload"
“Work is an intended activity that is accomplished through the will. A labor [by contrast] can be intended but only to the extent of doing the groundwork, or of *not* doing things that would clearly prevent the labor.” Lewis Hyde