Syncopated Politics @syncpol.bsky.social

Washington to Trump for @3QD "The fact is, we generally don’t judge Presidents by their character—we judge them by their effectiveness and their ability to deliver on what we care about." Presidential Appetites disq.us/t/4v0adh6

The line of the day comes from @GreenhouseLinda "The Supreme Court’s generosity toward President Trump’s flagrant violations of constitutional norms has cast a shadow long enough to obscure nearly everything else about the court’s term that ended..." nytimes.com/2025/07/02/opi…

I'd like to see this out from behind a paywall. @OpinionWSJ @WSJ You can't look away while Trump chews up 1st Amendment. Today CBS, maybe tomorrow CNN, and up the ladder until only praise can be published. wsj.com/opinion/donald…

Can D's retake House? Harder if TX GOP acts on Trump push to redistrict. From @kkondik for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics Both sides have targets (D, CA,NY, IL) + R (IN,KS, KY, MO) but D's have more institutional challenges--including GOP dominated courts centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/as…

"[F]ree government is founded in jealousy, and not in confidence; it is jealousy and not confidence which prescribes limited constitutions, to bind down those whom we are obliged to trust with power:" Thomas Jefferson, applicable to Trump v. Murdoch?3quarksdaily.com/3quarksdaily/2…

Reposting this from @3QD because I don't think Democrats have learned a thing... Why Did The Coal Miner Refuse To Cross The Road? disq.us/t/2vvgcig

Interested in a long-shot Senate D pickup next year? Great state of Iowa, where Joni Ernst might (might) not run and her "die" gaffe could hurt. From @kkondik for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics Given redness of IA and R-bench, don't bet the 401K on it centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ev…

So much going on you can miss things. in a closely divided electorate, those things could flip chambers. From @JMilesColeman for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics NE Senate TN-7 maybe in play, watch AZ-7 for shift back in Latino vote? Candidate quality key centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/no…

Musk's 3rd party idea? Power attracts, even the best"TR had promised not to violate the unwritten “George Washington” rule of a 2-term maximum, but it was awfully boring being an ex-President Third Alternatives: A Brief History Of Third Party Candidacies disq.us/t/49y3zlv

Exceptionally good explainer by @curiouswavefn for @3QD merging the technical with the political, and distinguishing itself by the depth of the author's knowledge. Iran and the burden of knowledge disq.us/t/4uxhkz4

On #IndependenceDay some apt words from Jefferson "Let us, then, fellow-citizens, unite with one heart and one mind.” Sunrise at Monticello disq.us/t/3z5rn9k

She still stands in New York Harbor, where over a century ago she greeted my family. A reason to be eternally grateful.

Even the Founders were capable of really bad legislation. John Adams Is Bald and Toothless: A Brief History Of The Alien And Sedition Acts disq.us/t/4ud84hr

In time for the 4th, one of those wonderful "when did" pieces that the wonky among us love to read. @JMilesColeman for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics When Democrats did best (hint, skinny guy with funny name did OK) Watch the D erosion in the Midwest centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/20…

Incumbency Blue(s)? @kkondik and @JMilesColeman for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics Retirements of Don Bacon (NE-2) and Thom Tillis (NC) create possibilities. Could Lara Trump's carpetbag travel? Great time to be a political scientist. centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ba…

From @kkondik for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics A tantalizing find "among the roughly 10% of the electorate made up of naturalized citizens: They voted only narrowly for Harris after backing Biden by about 20 points." Durable movement after ICE in 2025? centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/di…

Good analysis by @JMilesColeman (who obviously can make it here) for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics on D NYC Mayoral primary+unexpected rise of Mamdani. Both RCV + NYC's stable of Term-Limited recycled candidates play a role, but he was a good candidate. centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/no…

Thomas Jefferson Would Like A Word With You ift.tt/BMriqcS

Democrats need more chaos, and Virginia is ready to serve. @kkondik and @JMilesColeman for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics Includes a V.O. Key reference for the truly wonky. So, for all with friends and neighbors, dig in, centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/20…

A reminder from @raf_newman that there are things besides politics... Ulyssees on the Limmat disq.us/t/4upexky